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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 7. · Feyenoord 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Heerenveen 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Ajax 5 3 1 1 +6 10
5 Zwolle 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Vitesse 4 3 0 1 +7 9
7 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 0 1 +4 9
8 Utrecht 5 3 0 2 +2 9
9 VVV Venlo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Heracles 5 1 2 2 -2 5
11 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Den Haag 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 NAC Breda 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Twente 5 1 0 4 -1 3
17 Willem II 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Roda 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.