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Bundesliga
Referee: Patrick Ittrich
Dortmund
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Hertha
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dortmund 3. · Hertha 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 +14 16
2 Hertha 6 4 1 1 +4 13
3 Dortmund 6 4 0 2 +10 12
4 FC Koln 6 3 3 0 +7 12
5 RB Leipzig 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Leverkusen 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Hoffenheim 6 2 4 0 +2 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 M'gladbach 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Freiburg 6 3 0 3 -2 9
11 Mainz 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Augsburg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Wolfsburg 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -8 5
15 Werder Bremen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Schalke 04 6 1 0 5 -4 3
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 6 0 1 5 -9 1
18 Hamburg 6 0 1 5 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Hertha
19′
🟨 Niklas Stark
Half-time 0–1
51′
V. Stocker 0–1
V. Ibišević
53′
🟨 John Brooks
O. Dembélé 🔁
↦ S. Rode
60′
S. Kagawa 🔁
↦ M. Götze
60′
Ousmane Dembélé 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Alexander Esswein
Joo-Ho Park 🔁
↦ M. Schmelzer
71′
78′
🔁 Allan
↦ P. Skjelbred
1–1 P. Aubameyang
O. Dembélé
80′
81′
🔁 S. Allagui
↦ V. Ibišević
Emre Mor 🟥
84′
84′
🟨 Sebastian Langkamp
88′
🟨 Sami Allagui
90′
🟥 Valentin Stocker
93′
🔁 M. Mittelstädt
↦ A. Esswein
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
38 R. Bürki G
29 M. Schmelzer D
28 M. Ginter D
18 S. Rode M
10 M. Götze M
33 J. Weigl M
9 E. Mor F
24 Mikel Merino M
30 F. Passlack D
22 C. Pulisic M
17 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (7)
7 O. Dembélé
23 S. Kagawa
3 Joo-Ho Park
1 R. Weidenfeller
8 N. Şahin
5 Bartra
32 D. Burnic

Coach: T. Tuchel

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
15 S. Langkamp D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
23 M. Weiser D
25 J. Brooks D
5 N. Stark D
3 P. Skjelbred M
14 V. Stocker M
7 A. Esswein M
24 G. Haraguchi M
19 V. Ibišević F
Bench (7)
20 Allan
11 S. Allagui
34 M. Mittelstädt
18 S. Kurt
8 S. Kalou
1 T. Kraft
13 J. Hegeler

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Patrick Ittrich · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.