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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Leverkusen
T S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 35%
39%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
70%
74%
Both score Ø 74%
70%
78%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 10. · Werder Bremen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 17 5 1 +44 56
2 RB Leipzig 23 15 4 4 +19 49
3 Dortmund 23 12 7 4 +27 43
4 Hoffenheim 23 10 11 2 +20 41
5 Hertha 23 11 4 8 +5 37
6 Ein Frankfurt 23 10 5 8 +2 35
7 FC Koln 23 8 9 6 +6 33
8 Freiburg 23 10 3 10 -10 33
9 M'gladbach 23 9 5 9 -2 32
10 Leverkusen 23 9 3 11 -2 30
11 Mainz 23 8 5 10 -6 29
12 Augsburg 23 7 7 9 -7 28
13 Schalke 04 23 7 6 10 +1 27
14 Werder Bremen 23 7 4 12 -13 25
15 Wolfsburg 23 6 5 12 -13 23
16 Hamburg 23 6 5 12 -23 23
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 23 5 3 15 -18 18
18 Darmstadt 23 3 3 17 -30 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Werder Bremen
1–0 K. Volland
7′
Wendell 🟨
20′
Half-time 1–0
K. Havertz 🔁
↦ K. Bellarabi
64′
66′
🟨 Theodor Gebre Selassie
67′
🔁 T. Delaney
↦ F. Grillitsch
A. Mehmedi 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
74′
76′
🔁 C. Pizarro
↦ T. Gebre Selassie
79′
C. Pizarro 1–1
R. Bauer
80′
🟨 Claudio Pizarro
S. Kießling 🔁
↦ J. Hernández
82′
Wendell 🟨
90′
Wendell 🟥
90′
92′
🔁 F. Kainz
↦ Z. Junuzović
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-4-1-1
1 B. Leno G
6 A. Dragović D
21 Ö. Toprak D
18 Wendell D
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
38 K. Bellarabi M
44 K. Kampl M
39 B. Henrichs D
7 J. Hernández F
31 K. Volland F
19 J. Brandt M
Bench (7)
29 K. Havertz
14 A. Mehmedi
11 S. Kießling
13 R. Hilbert
16 T. Jedvaj
20 C. Aránguiz
28 R. Özcan

Coach: T. Korkut

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
42 F. Wiedwald G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
26 L. Sané D
4 R. Bauer D
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
27 F. Grillitsch M
13 M. Veljkovic D
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
6 T. Delaney
14 C. Pizarro
7 F. Kainz
2 S. García
3 L. Caldirola
9 A. Jóhannsson
33 J. Drobný

Coach: A. Nouri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.