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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Brand
Darmstadt
T T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
15%
35%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
42%
65%
Both score Ø 54%
38%
69%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 18. · Leverkusen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 +53 65
2 RB Leipzig 26 16 4 6 +19 52
3 Hoffenheim 27 13 12 2 +24 51
4 Dortmund 27 14 8 5 +30 50
5 FC Koln 27 10 10 7 +8 40
6 Hertha 26 12 4 10 +2 40
7 Ein Frankfurt 27 10 7 10 -2 37
8 Werder Bremen 27 10 5 12 -4 35
9 Freiburg 26 10 5 11 -13 35
10 Schalke 04 27 9 7 11 +2 34
11 M'gladbach 26 9 6 11 -4 33
12 Leverkusen 26 9 5 12 -3 32
13 Wolfsburg 26 8 6 12 -11 30
14 Hamburg 27 8 6 13 -24 30
15 Mainz 26 8 5 13 -9 29
16 Augsburg 26 7 8 11 -16 29
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 26 6 4 16 -18 22
18 Darmstadt 26 4 3 19 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Leverkusen
15′
J. Brandt 0–1
K. Volland
L. Guwara 🔁
↦ S. Sam
27′
36′
🟨 Tin Jedvaj
39′
🟨 Ömer Toprak
Half-time 0–1
J. Rosenthal 🔁
↦ M. Vrančić
55′
56′
K. Volland 0–2
F. Platte 🔁
↦ T. Boyd
65′
75′
🔁 S. Kießling
↦ K. Bellarabi
89′
🔁 A. Mehmedi
↦ J. Brandt
91′
🔁 J. Pohjanpalo
↦ K. Volland
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
31 M. Esser G
32 F. Holland D
7 A. Fedetskiy D
4 A. Sulu D
26 P. Banggaard D
6 M. Vrančić M
34 Hamit Altıntop M
20 M. Heller M
33 S. Sam M
8 J. Gondorf M
15 T. Boyd F
Bench (7)
2 L. Guwara
10 J. Rosenthal
19 F. Platte
1 Daniel Heuer
13 M. Steinhöfer
16 A. Colak
21 I. Höhn

Coach: T. Frings

Leverkusen

4-4-2
1 B. Leno G
13 R. Hilbert D
21 Ö. Toprak D
18 Wendell D
16 T. Jedvaj D
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
38 K. Bellarabi M
44 K. Kampl M
29 K. Havertz M
31 K. Volland F
19 J. Brandt M
Bench (7)
11 S. Kießling
14 A. Mehmedi
17 J. Pohjanpalo
6 A. Dragović
28 R. Özcan
35 V. Yurchenko
39 B. Henrichs

Coach: T. Korkut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benjamin Brand · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.