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Bundesliga

Referee: Benjamin Brand

Freiburg

T S S T T

1–4

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 59%

45%

73%

Points per game

1,4

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

82%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 10. · RB Leipzig 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	11	8	3	0	+14	27
2	Bayern Munich	11	7	3	1	+17	24
3	Dortmund	11	6	3	2	+14	21
4	FC Koln	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Hoffenheim	11	5	6	0	+7	21
6	Hertha	11	6	3	2	+7	21
7	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	3	2	+7	21
8	Mainz	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Leverkusen	11	5	1	5	+0	16
10	Freiburg	11	5	0	6	-5	15
11	Schalke 04	11	4	2	5	+2	14
12	Augsburg	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	M'gladbach	11	3	3	5	-6	12
14	Wolfsburg	11	2	3	6	-5	9
15	Darmstadt	11	2	2	7	-11	8
16	Werder Bremen	11	2	1	8	-16	7
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	1	2	8	-13	5
18	Hamburg	11	0	3	8	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+13	14
3	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+10	14
4	FC Koln	5	4	1	0	+9	13
5	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+6	13
6	Hoffenheim	6	3	3	0	+3	12
7	Freiburg	5	4	0	1	+2	12
8	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	2	0	+3	11
10	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+4	10
11	Leverkusen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
12	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+5	9
13	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Werder Bremen	6	2	0	4	-3	6
15	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Wolfsburg	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Hamburg	5	0	1	4	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+4	10
4	Hoffenheim	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	FC Koln	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Dortmund	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Mainz	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Hertha	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	1	1	4	-6	4
14	Freiburg	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Hamburg	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	M'gladbach	5	0	1	4	-11	1
17	Werder Bremen	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	Darmstadt	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.