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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Leverkusen

S T T S S

2–3

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

50%

70%

Points per game

1,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

80%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,6

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 9

4 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 8. · RB Leipzig 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	3	0	+18	24
2	RB Leipzig	10	7	3	0	+13	24
3	Hoffenheim	10	5	5	0	+7	20
4	Hertha	10	6	2	2	+7	20
5	Dortmund	10	5	3	2	+13	18
6	FC Koln	10	5	3	2	+9	18
7	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Leverkusen	10	5	1	4	+1	16
9	Freiburg	10	5	0	5	-3	15
10	Mainz	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	M'gladbach	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	Schalke 04	10	3	2	5	+1	11
13	Augsburg	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Wolfsburg	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Darmstadt	10	2	2	6	-10	8
16	Werder Bremen	10	2	1	7	-15	7
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	10	0	2	8	-14	2
18	Hamburg	10	0	2	8	-19	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+13	14
3	FC Koln	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+6	13
5	Freiburg	5	4	0	1	+2	12
6	Dortmund	5	3	2	0	+9	11
7	M'gladbach	5	3	2	0	+6	11
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	2	0	+3	11
9	Hoffenheim	5	3	2	0	+3	11
10	Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	+2	10
11	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+5	9
12	Darmstadt	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Mainz	4	2	1	1	+2	7
14	Werder Bremen	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Augsburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Wolfsburg	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Hamburg	5	0	1	4	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Hoffenheim	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Dortmund	5	2	1	2	+4	7
5	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Mainz	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	FC Koln	5	1	2	2	+0	5
11	Hertha	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Freiburg	5	1	0	4	-5	3
13	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-4	2
14	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
15	Hamburg	5	0	1	4	-8	1
16	M'gladbach	5	0	1	4	-11	1
17	Werder Bremen	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	Darmstadt	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.