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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Burton Albion
S T S T U
1–2
Full-time
Ipswich
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burton Albion Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Championship · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 53%
54%
51%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burton Albion 21. · Ipswich 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 42 27 8 7 +36 89
2 Newcastle 41 26 6 9 +39 84
3 Huddersfield 38 23 5 10 +7 74
4 Leeds 41 22 6 13 +16 72
5 Reading 38 21 7 10 +4 70
6 Fulham 40 18 13 9 +18 67
7 Sheffield Weds 40 19 9 12 +10 66
8 Derby 42 17 11 14 +3 62
9 Preston 42 16 13 13 +7 61
10 Norwich 42 17 9 16 +8 60
11 Brentford 42 17 8 17 +10 59
12 Aston Villa 41 15 13 13 +3 58
13 Barnsley 42 15 11 16 +1 56
14 Cardiff 42 15 10 17 -3 55
15 Wolves 41 14 9 18 -3 51
16 QPR 42 14 8 20 -9 50
17 Ipswich 41 11 16 14 -8 49
18 Bristol City 42 13 8 21 -7 47
19 Birmingham 42 11 14 17 -19 47
20 Nott'm Forest 42 12 9 21 -11 45
21 Burton Albion 41 11 12 18 -14 45
22 Blackburn 42 10 13 19 -15 43
23 Wigan 42 10 10 22 -15 40
24 Rotherham 42 4 6 32 -58 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burton Albion Ipswich
Half-time 0–0
L. Varney 🔁
↦ M. Sordell
46′
52′
L. Varney 1–0
own goal
79′
F. Sears 1–1
L. Akins 🔁
↦ C. Woodrow
80′
L. Christensen 🔁
↦ M. Kightly
80′
85′
🔁 B. Pitman
↦ D. McGoldrick
2–1 L. Akins
86′
90′
🟨 Freddie Sears
92′
🔁 T. Smith
↦ T. Lawrence
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burton Albion

4-4-1-1
1 J. McLaughlin G
6 B. Turner D
3 J. Brayford D
4 J. Mousinho D
2 T. Flanagan D
28 M. Kightly M
11 L. Dyer M
30 L. Murphy M
36 J. Irvine M
9 M. Sordell M
12 C. Woodrow F
Bench (7)
19 L. Varney
10 L. Akins
24 L. Christensen
13 S. Bywater
14 D. McCrory
15 T. Naylor
25 S. Barker

Coach: N. Clough

Ipswich

4-4-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
6 C. Berra D
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
30 M. Kenlock M
8 C. Skuse M
27 T. Lawrence M
44 E. Huws M
18 G. Ward M
10 D. McGoldrick F
20 F. Sears F
Bench (7)
11 B. Pitman
5 T. Smith
17 K. Bru
29 J. Emmanuel
37 T. Diagouraga
38 M. Crowe
42 D. Samuel

Coach: M. McCarthy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.