← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: Stephen Martin
Burton Albion
S S T U S
1–3
Full-time
QPR
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Burton Albion QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Championship · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
23%
27%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
42%
65%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
4 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burton Albion 22. · QPR 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 26 19 4 3 +30 61
2 Cardiff 27 15 5 7 +15 50
3 Derby 25 14 6 5 +18 48
4 Bristol City 26 13 8 5 +9 47
5 Sheffield United 27 13 4 10 +9 43
6 Leeds 26 13 4 9 +9 43
7 Middlesbrough 24 12 4 8 +10 40
8 Preston 26 10 10 6 +4 40
9 Fulham 24 10 8 6 +6 38
10 Aston Villa 23 10 7 6 +12 37
11 Brentford 26 9 10 7 +4 37
12 Ipswich 26 11 3 12 +0 36
13 Norwich 26 9 7 10 -5 34
14 Nott'm Forest 26 10 2 14 -9 32
15 Sheffield Weds 27 7 10 10 -4 31
16 Millwall 26 7 9 10 -1 30
17 QPR 26 7 9 10 -8 30
18 Reading 26 7 7 12 -5 28
19 Barnsley 26 6 8 12 -10 26
20 Bolton 26 6 7 13 -18 25
21 Hull 26 5 9 12 -5 24
22 Burton Albion 26 6 6 14 -23 24
23 Birmingham 26 6 5 15 -20 23
24 Sunderland 27 4 10 13 -18 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burton Albion QPR
32′
A. Oteh 0–1
D. Furlong
1–1 L. Dyer
L. Akins
34′
J. Sbarra 🔁
↦ W. Miller
41′
Half-time 1–1
Luke Murphy 🟨
53′
Kyle McFadzean 🟨
56′
J. Allen 🔁
↦ K. McFadzean
60′
66′
🟨 Josh Scowen
71′
🟨 Joel Lynch
74′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ A. Oteh
74′
C. Washington 1–2
L. Freeman
M. Sordell 🔁
↦ L. Murphy
80′
87′
M. Luongo 1–3
C. Washington
89′
🔁 R. Manning
↦ L. Freeman
Jake Buxton 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Burton Albion

5-4-1
1 S. Bywater G
6 B. Turner D
5 K. McFadzean D
2 J. Brayford D
23 J. Buxton D
12 T. Flanagan D
11 L. Dyer M
7 L. Murphy M
15 T. Naylor D
18 W. Miller M
10 L. Akins F
Bench (7)
26 J. Sbarra
4 J. Allen
17 M. Sordell
3 S. Warnock
21 H. Akpan
24 H. Campbell
25 S. Barker

Coach: N. Clough

QPR

3-5-2
1 A. Smithies
5 N. Onuoha D
6 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
18 J. Robinson D
2 D. Furlong D
11 J. Scowen M
21 M. Luongo M
7 L. Freeman M
9 C. Washington F
38 A. Oteh F
Bench (7)
17 M. Smith
14 R. Manning
13 M. Ingram
22 P. Wszołek
24 J. Perch
30 E. Eze
40 Idrissa Sylla

Coach: I. Holloway

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stephen Martin · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.