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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto
Valladolid
U S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
31%
54%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
31%
31%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 4
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valladolid 14. · Sevilla 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 9 1 3 +19 28
2 Real Madrid 13 8 4 1 +18 28
3 Ath Madrid 14 6 7 1 +7 25
4 Sevilla 13 7 3 3 +3 24
5 Ath Bilbao 14 6 5 3 +6 23
6 Sociedad 14 7 2 5 +5 23
7 Getafe 14 5 6 3 +3 21
8 Granada 14 6 3 5 +2 21
9 Levante 14 6 2 6 +1 20
10 Valencia 14 5 5 4 +0 20
11 Osasuna 14 4 7 3 +2 19
12 Villarreal 14 5 3 6 +5 18
13 Alaves 14 5 3 6 -2 18
14 Valladolid 13 4 5 4 -3 17
15 Betis 14 4 4 6 -7 16
16 Eibar 14 4 3 7 -9 15
17 Mallorca 14 4 2 8 -8 14
18 Celta 14 3 3 8 -10 12
19 Espanol 14 2 3 9 -16 9
20 Leganes 14 1 3 10 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Sevilla
Jordi Masip 🟨
12′
13′
É. Banega 0–1
Nacho Martinez 🟨
15′
15′
🟨 Lucas Ocampos
Half-time 0–1
Toni Suárez 🔁
↦ Pablo Hervías
63′
64′
🟨 Luuk de Jong
67′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ Nolito
75′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ É. Banega
Jorge de Frutos 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
77′
E. Ünal 🔁
↦ S. Karim
84′
88′
🟨 Fernando
Toni Villa 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 N. Gudelj
↦ Navas
90′
🟨 Lucas Ocampos
90′
🟥 Lucas Ocampos
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
17 Javi Moyano D
4 Kiko Olivas D
27 Mohammed Salisu D
22 Nacho Martinez D
11 Pablo Hervias M
21 Míchel Herrero M
16 Fede San Emeterio M
10 Óscar Plano M
20 Sandro Ramírez F
7 Sergi Guardiola F
Bench (7)
13 Andriy Lunin
2 Pedro Porro
14 Rubén Alcaraz
19 Toni Villa
12 Jorge De Frutos
9 Enes Ünal
23 Waldo Rubio Marin

Coach: Sergio

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Tomáš Vaclík G
16 Jesús Navas D
12 Jules Kounde D
20 Diego Carlos D
23 Sergio Reguilón D
24 Joan Jordan M
25 Fernando M
10 Éver Banega M
5 Lucas Ocampos F
19 Luuk de Jong F
8 Nolito F
Bench (7)
13 Bono
18 Sergio Escudero
21 Óliver Torres
17 Nemanja Gudelj
22 Franco Vázquez
11 Munir El Haddadi
14 Javier Hernández

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,14
U
3,59
B ✓
1,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eduardo Prieto · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.