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Serie B
Spezia
S S U U T
2–0
Full-time
Frosinone
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
58%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 9
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 18. · Frosinone 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 13 8 4 1 +10 28
2 Pordenone 13 6 4 3 +6 22
3 Crotone 13 6 3 4 +6 21
4 Cittadella 13 6 3 4 +0 21
5 Pescara 13 6 2 5 +5 20
6 Ascoli 13 6 2 5 +5 20
7 Perugia 13 5 4 4 -3 19
8 Chievo 12 4 6 2 +3 18
9 Empoli 13 4 6 3 +1 18
10 Salernitana 13 5 3 5 -1 18
11 Pisa 13 4 5 4 +1 17
12 Frosinone 12 4 5 3 +1 17
13 Venezia 13 4 5 4 +0 17
14 Virtus Entella 12 4 4 4 -2 16
15 Cremonese 13 4 4 5 -6 16
16 Juve Stabia 13 4 2 7 -7 14
17 Cosenza 13 2 6 5 -1 12
18 Spezia 12 3 3 6 -3 12
19 Livorno 13 3 1 9 -7 10
20 Trapani 13 2 4 7 -8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
2,99
B
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.