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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Thun

T T T T S

0–3

Full-time

Lugano

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,7

This season — Super League · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 18%

14%

21%

Points per game

0,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

0,9

Conceded

2,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 10. · Lugano 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	9	4	1	+16	31
2	Basel	15	9	3	3	+18	30
3	St. Gallen	14	8	2	4	+10	26
4	Zurich	15	7	3	5	-7	24
5	Servette	15	5	6	4	+5	21
6	Sion	14	5	2	7	-6	17
7	Luzern	15	4	3	8	-7	15
8	Lugano	14	3	4	7	-5	13
9	Xamax	14	2	6	6	-8	12
10	Thun	14	2	3	9	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Basel	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Zurich	8	5	1	2	+1	16
4	St. Gallen	7	4	1	2	+7	13
5	Servette	8	3	3	2	+4	12
6	Luzern	7	2	2	3	-1	8
7	Sion	6	2	1	3	-2	7
8	Xamax	7	1	2	4	-5	5
9	Lugano	7	0	3	4	-7	3
10	Thun	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	8	4	2	2	+7	14
2	St. Gallen	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Young Boys	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Lugano	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	Sion	8	3	1	4	-4	10
6	Servette	7	2	3	2	+1	9
7	Zurich	7	2	2	3	-8	8
8	Xamax	7	1	4	2	-3	7
9	Luzern	8	2	1	5	-6	7
10	Thun	7	2	1	4	-7	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.