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LaLiga2

Almeria

U S U U U

2–0

Full-time

Numancia

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Numancia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

44%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

11 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 10

18 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 4. · Numancia 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	16	11	3	2	+12	36
2	Huesca	17	9	2	6	+8	29
3	Fuenlabrada	16	8	4	4	+6	28
4	Almeria	16	6	8	2	+8	26
5	Zaragoza	17	7	5	5	+4	26
6	Numancia	16	6	7	3	+5	25
7	Alcorcon	17	6	7	4	+3	25
8	Albacete	16	8	1	7	-5	25
9	Girona	16	7	3	6	+2	24
10	Ponferradina	17	5	8	4	+3	23
11	Elche	16	6	5	5	+2	23
12	Vallecano	17	4	9	4	+2	21
13	Mirandes	16	5	6	5	-5	21
14	Lugo	16	4	8	4	-4	20
15	Las Palmas	16	5	4	7	-4	19
16	Tenerife	17	4	6	7	-1	18
17	Sp Gijon	17	4	6	7	-2	18
18	Santander	17	2	10	5	-1	16
19	Extremadura UD	17	4	4	9	-9	16
20	Malaga	16	3	6	7	-4	15
21	Oviedo	16	3	6	7	-5	15
22	La Coruna	17	1	8	8	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Cadiz	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	Numancia	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	Girona	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Ponferradina	9	4	4	1	+6	16
6	Mirandes	9	4	4	1	+4	16
7	Fuenlabrada	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Almeria	7	4	2	1	+6	14
9	Zaragoza	9	4	2	3	+4	14
10	Vallecano	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	Sp Gijon	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Lugo	9	3	3	3	-3	12
13	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Santander	9	2	4	3	+2	10
15	Elche	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	Alcorcon	8	3	1	4	-2	10
17	Albacete	7	3	1	3	-3	10
18	Oviedo	8	1	6	1	+0	9
19	Extremadura UD	8	2	2	4	-3	8
20	Malaga	7	1	4	2	-1	7
21	Tenerife	8	1	4	3	-2	7
22	La Coruna	8	1	4	3	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	9	5	2	2	+2	17
2	Alcorcon	9	3	6	0	+5	15
3	Albacete	9	5	0	4	-2	15
4	Elche	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Fuenlabrada	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Almeria	9	2	6	1	+2	12
7	Zaragoza	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Tenerife	9	3	2	4	+1	11
9	Vallecano	8	1	5	2	+0	8
10	Numancia	7	1	5	1	+0	8
11	Lugo	7	1	5	1	-1	8
12	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Las Palmas	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Extremadura UD	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Ponferradina	8	1	4	3	-3	7
16	Girona	8	2	1	5	-3	7
17	Huesca	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Santander	8	0	6	2	-3	6
19	Oviedo	8	2	0	6	-5	6
20	Sp Gijon	8	1	3	4	-5	6
21	Mirandes	7	1	2	4	-9	5
22	La Coruna	9	0	4	5	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.