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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Molde
S T S S T
4–0
Full-time
Valerenga
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
6 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 6. · Valerenga 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sarpsborg 08 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Rosenborg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Tromso 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Haugesund 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Stabaek 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Molde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Brann 3 1 1 1 +2 4
8 Stromsgodset 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -1 3
10 Sogndal 3 1 0 2 -2 3
11 Lillestrom 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Kristiansund 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Sandefjord 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Odd 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Aalesund 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Viking 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Valerenga
1–0 S. Svendsen
B. Sigurðarson
7′
1–1 I. Näsberg
own goal
11′
2–1 S. Svendsen
R. Gabrielsen
28′
Half-time 2–1
E. Hussain 🔁
↦ B. Sarr
46′
3–1 B. Sigurðarson
P. Strand
46′
57′
🔁 M. Grødem
↦ A. Ibrahim
63′
🟨 Ivan Nasberg
O. Karlsson 🔁
↦ F. Brustad
64′
64′
🔁 D. Berntsen
↦ B. Finne
C. Remmer 🔁
↦ P. Strand
72′
79′
🔁 H. Stengel
↦ M. Lekven
84′
🟨 Daniel Berntsen
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Molde

4-4-2
1 A. Linde G
5 J. Toivio D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
6 S. Gregersen D
14 P. Strand M
10 B. Sigurðarson F
33 F. Brustad F
11 S. Svendsen F
Bench (7)
16 E. Hussain
25 O. Karlsson
22 C. Remmer
3 O. Rindarøy
20 T. Amang
23 K. Rindarøy
34 Neydson

Coach: O. Solskjær

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sandberg G
5 R. Lundström D
22 I. Näsberg D
2 M. Nakkim D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
6 A. Ibrahim M
10 G. Zahid M
21 S. Juklerød D
20 H. Johansen F
11 B. Finne M
Bench (7)
29 M. Grødem
15 D. Berntsen
14 H. Stengel
3 E. Jääger
17 M. Keita
25 M. Abdellaoue
30 A. Falch

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.