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Championship

Referee: Peter Bankes

Middlesbrough

U T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Sheffield United

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Sheffield United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 21. · Sheffield United 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Wolves	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Nott'm Forest	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ipswich	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Hull	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	QPR	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Preston	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Bolton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sheffield Weds	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Derby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Reading	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Aston Villa	2	0	1	1	-3	1
21	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Brentford	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Barnsley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Burton Albion	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.