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Championship

Referee: Simon Hooper

Bolton

T U T S T

2–3

Full-time

Leeds

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 8

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.