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Premier League
Referee: Andre Marriner
Bournemouth
T T T U T
1–3
Full-time
Man United
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. May -16 Man United – Bournemouth 3–1 12. Dec -15 Bournemouth – Man United 2–1

Match report

Bournemouth Man United
40′
⚽ Mata 0–1
Half-time 0–2
59′
⚽ W. Rooney 0–2
A. Martial
64′
⚽ Z. Ibrahimović 0–3
A. Martial
L. Grabban 🔁
↦ C. Wilson
67′
B. Afobe 🔁
↦ J. Ibe
68′
1–3 A. Smith ⚽
L. Grabban
69′
75′
🔁 H. Mkhitaryan
↦ Mata
M. Gradel 🔁
↦ L. Cook
81′
85′
🔁 M. Schneiderlin
↦ A. Martial
86′
🟨 Ander Herrera
89′
🔁 M. Depay
↦ W. Rooney
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-3-3
1 A. Boruc G
2 S. Francis D
11 C. Daniels D
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
6 A. Surman M
8 H. Arter M
33 J. Ibe F
18 L. Cook M
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
28 L. Grabban
9 B. Afobe
10 M. Gradel
14 B. Smith
4 D. Gosling
23 A. Federici
5 N. Aké

Coach: E. Howe

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
23 L. Shaw D
3 E. Bailly D
25 A. Valencia D
27 M. Fellaini M
8 Mata M
17 D. Blind D
21 Ander Herrera M
9 Z. Ibrahimović F
10 W. Rooney M
11 A. Martial M
Bench (7)
22 H. Mkhitaryan
28 M. Schneiderlin
7 M. Depay
20 S. Romero
5 M. Rojo
19 M. Rashford
16 M. Carrick

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.