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Bundesliga
Referee: Martin Petersen
Hoffenheim
T S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Hertha
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
39%
32%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
71%
64%
Both score Ø 74%
86%
61%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
29 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 9. · Hertha 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 29 20 6 3 +32 66
2 Bayern Munich 28 20 4 4 +46 64
3 RB Leipzig 29 17 7 5 +33 58
4 Ein Frankfurt 28 15 7 6 +25 52
5 M'gladbach 29 15 6 8 +13 51
6 Werder Bremen 29 12 10 7 +11 46
7 Leverkusen 29 14 3 12 +3 45
8 Wolfsburg 29 13 6 10 +3 45
9 Hoffenheim 28 11 11 6 +19 44
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 28 11 4 13 -14 37
11 Hertha 28 9 8 11 -5 35
12 Mainz 29 9 6 14 -16 33
13 Freiburg 29 7 11 11 -11 32
14 Schalke 04 29 7 6 16 -17 27
15 Augsburg 28 6 7 15 -17 25
16 Stuttgart 29 5 6 18 -34 21
17 Nurnberg 29 3 9 17 -30 18
18 Hannover 29 3 5 21 -41 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Hertha
1–0 N. Amiri
K. Demirbay
29′
Kerem Demirbay 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 J. Dilrosun
↦ V. Lazaro
E. Bičakčić 🔁
↦ Á. Szalai
65′
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ N. Amiri
69′
2–0 R. Nelson
N. Schulz
76′
L. Bittencourt 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
77′
85′
🔁 P. Köpke
↦ D. Selke
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

4-3-1-2
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
22 K. Vogt D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
16 N. Schulz M
11 F. Grillitsch M
10 K. Demirbay M
18 N. Amiri M
28 Á. Szalai F
27 A. Kramarić F
19 I. Belfodil F
Bench (7)
4 E. Bičakčić
9 R. Nelson
13 L. Bittencourt
2 J. Brenet
38 S. Posch
42 C. Baumgartner
33 A. Stolz

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
13 L. Klünter D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
8 S. Kalou M
3 P. Skjelbred M
11 M. Leckie M
20 V. Lazaro M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
16 J. Dilrosun
14 P. Köpke
32 D. Jastrzembski
1 T. Kraft
5 N. Stark
24 P. Dárdai
29 F. Baak

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Petersen · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.