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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
PSV Eindhoven
S S T S U
2–1
Full-time
De Graafschap
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven De Graafschap
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 50%
76%
24%
Points per game
2,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
79%
62%
Both score Ø 45%
48%
41%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
3,0
1,1
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
26 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 25
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · De Graafschap 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 30 24 2 4 +78 74
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 22 5 2 +65 71
3 Feyenoord 30 17 5 8 +28 56
4 AZ Alkmaar 30 15 7 8 +22 52
5 Heracles 28 14 3 11 +2 45
6 Utrecht 26 11 7 8 +6 40
7 Willem II 29 12 4 13 -8 40
8 Groningen 27 11 5 11 +1 38
9 Vitesse 26 9 10 7 +7 37
10 Heerenveen 29 9 9 11 -7 36
11 Den Haag 30 9 9 12 -11 36
12 Zwolle 29 10 5 14 -7 35
13 VVV Venlo 30 9 7 14 -19 34
14 For Sittard 30 8 7 15 -24 31
15 FC Emmen 30 7 8 15 -34 29
16 De Graafschap 29 7 5 17 -26 26
17 Excelsior 30 7 5 18 -34 26
18 NAC Breda 30 5 7 18 -39 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.