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Serie A

Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese

Sampdoria

T S S T T

2–0

Full-time

Genoa

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

42%

26%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

58%

48%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

61%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 8

0 Offside 7

15 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sampdoria 9. · Genoa 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	32	27	3	2	+43	84
2	Napoli	31	19	7	5	+31	64
3	Inter	31	17	6	8	+22	57
4	Milan	32	15	10	7	+16	55
5	Roma	32	15	9	8	+12	54
6	Atalanta	31	15	7	9	+23	52
7	Torino	32	12	14	6	+12	50
8	Lazio	31	14	7	10	+11	49
9	Sampdoria	31	13	6	12	+10	45
10	Fiorentina	31	8	15	8	+7	39
11	Cagliari	32	9	10	13	-13	37
12	Sassuolo	31	8	12	11	-5	36
13	Spal	32	9	8	15	-15	35
14	Genoa	31	8	10	13	-14	34
15	Parma	31	9	7	15	-17	34
16	Udinese	31	8	8	15	-14	32
17	Bologna	31	7	9	15	-16	30
18	Empoli	31	7	7	17	-19	28
19	Frosinone	31	5	8	18	-31	23
20	Chievo	31	1	11	19	-43	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	14	2	0	+25	44
2	Napoli	16	11	4	1	+22	37
3	Milan	17	10	4	3	+11	34
4	Roma	16	9	5	2	+11	32
5	Inter	15	9	3	3	+14	30
6	Torino	16	9	2	5	+8	29
7	Lazio	15	8	4	3	+12	28
8	Cagliari	16	7	6	3	+4	27
9	Sampdoria	15	8	2	5	+10	26
10	Atalanta	15	7	4	4	+12	25
11	Empoli	16	7	3	6	+1	24
12	Genoa	16	6	6	4	+0	24
13	Udinese	16	7	3	6	-1	24
14	Fiorentina	15	5	7	3	+8	22
15	Sassuolo	16	5	7	4	+0	22
16	Spal	16	5	6	5	-4	21
17	Bologna	15	5	4	6	-3	19
18	Parma	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Chievo	15	1	5	9	-17	8
20	Frosinone	15	1	5	9	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	13	1	2	+18	40
2	Atalanta	16	8	3	5	+11	27
3	Napoli	15	8	3	4	+9	27
4	Inter	16	8	3	5	+8	27
5	Roma	16	6	4	6	+1	22
6	Milan	15	5	6	4	+5	21
7	Torino	16	3	12	1	+4	21
8	Lazio	16	6	3	7	-1	21
9	Sampdoria	16	5	4	7	+0	19
10	Fiorentina	16	3	8	5	-1	17
11	Parma	15	5	2	8	-9	17
12	Frosinone	16	4	3	9	-13	15
13	Sassuolo	15	3	5	7	-5	14
14	Spal	16	4	2	10	-11	14
15	Bologna	16	2	5	9	-13	11
16	Genoa	15	2	4	9	-14	10
17	Cagliari	16	2	4	10	-17	10
18	Udinese	15	1	5	9	-13	8
19	Chievo	16	0	6	10	-26	6
20	Empoli	15	0	4	11	-20	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.