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Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

T U S S T

3–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

40%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

47%

67%

Both score Ø 54%

27%

80%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Lillestrom 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	16	11	4	1	+21	37
2	Odd	16	10	3	3	+11	33
3	Stromsgodset	16	10	2	4	+11	32
4	Haugesund	16	8	4	4	+9	28
5	Brann	16	8	3	5	+3	27
6	Viking	16	8	2	6	-1	26
7	Molde	16	7	4	5	+3	25
8	Sogndal	16	5	7	4	+1	22
9	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	4	5	-3	22
10	Bodo/Glimt	16	5	3	8	-2	18
11	Lillestrom	15	4	5	6	+0	17
12	Tromso	16	4	5	7	-8	17
13	Stabaek	16	4	2	10	-7	14
14	Aalesund	16	3	4	9	-8	13
15	Valerenga	16	3	3	10	-9	12
16	Start	16	0	7	9	-21	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	9	8	1	0	+15	25
2	Rosenborg	8	8	0	0	+17	24
3	Odd	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Brann	7	6	1	0	+9	19
5	Haugesund	8	5	3	0	+11	18
6	Molde	8	5	2	1	+10	17
7	Sogndal	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Lillestrom	8	3	2	3	+3	11
10	Viking	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Bodo/Glimt	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	+3	10
13	Aalesund	8	2	3	3	+2	9
14	Tromso	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	Stabaek	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Start	8	0	3	5	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	8	5	0	3	-2	15
2	Odd	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Rosenborg	8	3	4	1	+4	13
4	Haugesund	8	3	1	4	-2	10
5	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	1	4	-8	10
6	Sogndal	8	2	3	3	-1	9
7	Tromso	9	2	3	4	-8	9
8	Brann	9	2	2	5	-6	8
9	Molde	8	2	2	4	-7	8
10	Stabaek	8	2	1	5	-2	7
11	Bodo/Glimt	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Stromsgodset	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Lillestrom	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Start	8	0	4	4	-7	4
15	Aalesund	8	1	1	6	-10	4
16	Valerenga	8	0	2	6	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.