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Europa League
Referee: O Hațegan
Shamrock Rovers
U S T T T
3–1
Full-time
Celje
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shamrock Rovers Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -24 Celje – Shamrock Rovers 1–0

Match report

Shamrock Rovers Celje
36′
🟨 Lovro Štubljar
1–0 D. Watts ⚽
37′
2–0 N. Farrugia ⚽
J. Honohan
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Ž. Karničnik
↦ K. Nemanič
46′
🔁 L. Menalo
↦ I. Brnić
46′
🔁 M. Dulca
↦ L. Bobičanec
51′
🟨 Damjan Vuklišević
Aaron Greene 🟨
53′
53′
🔁 N. Kouter
↦ J. Pišek
Neil Farrugia 🟨
72′
Joshua Honohan 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 Edmilson
↦ A. Matko
D. Cleary 🔁
↦ T. Clarke
80′
R. Towell 🔁
↦ D. Nugent
80′
83′
⚽ Ž. Karničnik 2–1
A. Kučys
87′
🟨 Žan Karničnik
G. Burke 🔁
↦ N. Farrugia
88′
D. Burns 🔁
↦ A. Greene
90′
92′
🟨 Mario Kvesić
3–1 G. Burke ⚽
D. Watts
96′
104′
🔁 R. Aarons
↦ M. Kvesić
106′
🟨 David Zec
Sean Hoare 🟨
108′
C. O'Sullivan 🔁
↦ J. Honohan
110′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 L. Pöhls G
3 S. Hoare D
4 Roberto Lopes D
5 L. Grace D
2 J. Honohan D
23 N. Farrugia M
7 D. Watts M
16 G. O'Neill M
18 T. Clarke M
15 D. Nugent M
9 A. Greene F
Bench (12)
6 D. Cleary
17 R. Towell
10 G. Burke
21 D. Burns
27 C. O'Sullivan
19 M. Poom
25 L. Steacy
11 S. Kavanagh
34 C. Noonan
32 C. Dillon
29 J. Byrne
41 A. Noonan

Coach: S. Bradley

Celje

4-3-3
98 L. Štubljar G
6 D. Zec D
3 D. Vukliševič D
81 K. Nemanič D
25 M. Kavčič D
16 M. Kvesić M
31 J. Pišek M
8 L. Bobičanec M
77 I. Brnić F
47 A. Kučys F
7 A. Matko M
Bench (7)
23 Ž. Karničnik
70 L. Menalo
4 M. Dulca
10 N. Kouter
30 Edmilson
17 R. Aarons
22 M. Rožman

Coach: Albert Riera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.