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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Lillestrom
U T S U U
0–3
Full-time
Rosenborg
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
32%
64%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 59%
68%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 12
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Rosenborg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 22 14 5 3 +28 47
2 Brann 22 11 7 4 +22 40
3 Sarpsborg 08 22 10 8 4 +8 38
4 Molde 22 11 4 7 +10 37
5 Haugesund 22 10 6 6 +5 36
6 Odd 22 9 5 8 -6 32
7 Sandefjord 22 9 3 10 -4 30
8 Stabaek 22 8 6 8 -7 30
9 Stromsgodset 22 7 8 7 -1 29
10 Lillestrom 22 7 7 8 -2 28
11 Aalesund 22 6 7 9 -2 25
12 Valerenga 21 6 6 9 -6 24
13 Kristiansund 22 5 8 9 -8 23
14 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 -8 23
15 Tromso 22 5 7 10 -12 22
16 Viking 23 3 6 14 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Rosenborg
13′
🟨 Samuel Adegbenro
22′
N. Bendtner 0–1
P. Helland
34′
P. Helland 0–2
V. Hedenstad
Half-time 0–2
M. Tagbajumi 🔁
↦ S. Udodji
46′
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ S. Mikalsen
46′
Marius Amundsen 🟨
73′
73′
N. Bendtner 0–3
74′
🔁 Y. de Lanlay
↦ S. Adegbenro
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
79′
82′
🔁 A. Trondsen
↦ N. Bendtner
82′
🔁 M. Jevtović
↦ P. Helland
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
23 S. Udodji F
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
6 I. Matthew M
8 C. Ezeh M
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (7)
10 M. Tagbajumi
14 F. Krogstad
7 M. Ebiye
15 E. Brenden
22 S. Antonijevic
24 E. Sandberg
77 A. Origi

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Rosenborg

4-3-3
24 A. Østbø G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 V. Hedenstad D
3 B. Meling D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
25 M. Lundemo M
9 N. Bendtner F
23 P. Helland F
28 S. Adegbenro F
Bench (7)
11 Y. de Lanlay
15 A. Trondsen
26 M. Jevtović
1 André Hansen
5 J. Rasmussen
14 J. Bjørdal
20 A. Gersbach

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.