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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Rosenborg
T S U S S
4–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
59%
24%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
65%
35%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
65%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Kristiansund 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 10 5 2 +20 35
2 Sarpsborg 08 17 8 6 3 +11 30
3 Molde 17 8 4 5 +9 28
4 Brann 17 7 6 4 +16 27
5 Haugesund 16 7 4 5 +3 25
6 Stabaek 17 7 4 6 -4 25
7 Valerenga 16 6 5 5 +1 23
8 Aalesund 17 6 4 7 +0 22
9 Lillestrom 17 6 4 7 -1 22
10 Odd 16 6 4 6 -6 22
11 Sandefjord 17 6 3 8 -7 21
12 Sogndal 17 5 5 7 -6 20
13 Stromsgodset 17 4 7 6 -5 19
14 Kristiansund 17 4 6 7 -6 18
15 Tromso 16 3 5 8 -14 14
16 Viking 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Kristiansund
1–0 P. Helland
V. Hedenstad
13′
20′
🟨 Pal Erik Ulvestad
2–0 N. Bendtner
39′
Half-time 2–1
58′
D. Bamba 2–1
T. Gjertsen
J. Levi 🔁
↦ P. Helland
60′
65′
🔁 A. Diop
↦ J. Rønningen
F. Midtsjø 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
68′
72′
🔁 J. Mendy
↦ B. Stokke
3–1 N. Bendtner
75′
4–1 M. Jevtović
N. Bendtner
76′
A. Konradsen 🔁
↦ M. Vilhjálmsson
83′
84′
🔁 O. Øby
↦ D. Ulvestad
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
14 J. Bjørdal D
2 V. Hedenstad D
5 J. Rasmussen D
20 A. Gersbach D
7 M. Jensen M
25 M. Lundemo M
10 M. Vilhjálmsson F
9 N. Bendtner F
23 P. Helland F
26 M. Jevtović M
Bench (7)
17 J. Levi
21 F. Midtsjø
8 A. Konradsen
3 B. Meling
16 J. Skjelvik
24 A. Østbø
27 M. Bakenga

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Kristiansund

4-4-2
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad M
3 C. Aasbak D
27 N. Baranov D
19 A. Hopmark D
17 A. Coly D
8 P. Ulvestad
16 J. Rønningen M
20 B. Stokke F
11 D. Bamba F
7 T. Gjertsen M
Bench (7)
12 A. Diop
18 J. Mendy
22 O. Øby
2 J. Bjerkås
10 S. Økland
13 A. Knezovic
21 A. Rødsand

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.