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Europa League
Referee: A Stavrev
Porto
T T U S U
2–0
Full-time
Midtjylland
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
80%
20%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,35 xG 0,97
62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Porto Midtjylland
1–0 D. Namaso ⚽
S. Eustaquio
29′
Half-time 1–0
Danny Namaso 🟨
55′
2–0 Samu Aghehowa ⚽
Pepê
56′
61′
🔁 V. Bak Jensen
↦ Paulinho
61′
🔁 D. Castillo
↦ M. Krüger-Johnsen
61′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ E. Chilufya
Iván Jaime 🔁
↦ Fábio Vieira
70′
71′
🔁 J. Lössl
↦ E. Ólafsson
77′
🔁 P. Bravo
↦ A. Gabriel
Vasco Sousa 🔁
↦ A. Varela
83′
Gonçalo Borges 🔁
↦ Pepê
83′
Rodrigo Mora 🔁
↦ D. Namaso
94′
Tiago Djaló 🔁
↦ Martim Fernandes
94′
95′
ℹ️ Adam Buksa
VAR: Goal cancelled
98′
🟨 Mads Bech Sørensen
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-4-2
99 Diogo Costa G
52 Martim Fernandes D
24 N. Pérez D
4 Otávio D
13 Galeno D
10 Fábio Vieira M
22 A. Varela M
6 S. Eustaquio M
11 Pepê M
9 Samu Aghehowa F
19 D. Namaso F
Bench (12)
17 Iván Jaime
15 Vasco Sousa
70 Gonçalo Borges
86 Rodrigo Mora
3 Tiago Djaló
27 D. Gül
14 Cláudio Ramos
97 Zé Pedro
74 Francisco Moura
20 André Franco
21 Fran Navarro
12 Z. Sanusi

Coach: Vítor Bruno

Midtjylland

4-3-3
16 E. Ólafsson G
13 A. Gabriel D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
29 Paulinho D
6 J. Andersson M
5 E. Martínez M
24 O. Sørensen M
14 E. Chilufya F
18 A. Buksa F
41 M. Krüger-Johnsen F
Bench (12)
55 V. Bak Jensen
21 D. Castillo
20 V. Byskov
1 J. Lössl
19 P. Bravo
53 V. Lind
17 K. Askildsen
31 L. Selin
15 C. Sørensen
73 Juninho
3 Lee Han-Beom
25 J. Kuchta

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Stavrev · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.