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Europa League
Referee: M Barbu
Plzen
U U U S S
1–2
Full-time
Man United
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 54%
67%
40%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
56%
40%
Both score Ø 68%
56%
80%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,95 xG 2,73
32% Possession 68%
15 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Plzen Man United
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Marcus Rashford
1–0 M. Vydra ⚽
P. Šulc
48′
56′
🔁 R. Højlund
↦ M. Rashford
61′
🔁 M. Mount
↦ J. Zirkzee
61′
🔁 Antony
↦ T. Malacia
62′
⚽ R. Højlund 1–1
P. Adu 🔁
↦ D. Vašulín
71′
M. Havel 🔁
↦ Cadu
78′
81′
🟨 Matthijs de Ligt
81′
🔁 M. Ugarte
↦ Casemiro
81′
🔁 A. Garnacho
↦ Diogo Dalot
A. Sojka 🔁
↦ M. Vydra
86′
88′
⚽ R. Højlund 1–2
Bruno Fernandes
92′
🟨 Noussair Mazraoui
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Plzen

3-4-2-1
16 M. Jedlička G
40 S. Dweh D
3 S. Marković D
21 V. Jemelka D
22 Cadu M
6 L. Červ M
23 L. Kalvach M
19 C. Souaré M
11 M. Vydra F
31 P. Šulc F
51 D. Vašulín F
Bench (12)
80 P. Adu
24 M. Havel
12 A. Sojka
13 M. Tvrdoň
20 J. Panoš
30 V. Baier
5 J. Paluska
18 J. Mosquera
33 E. Jirka
2 L. Hejda
29 T. Slončík
10 J. Kopic

Coach: M. Koubek

Man United

3-4-2-1
24 A. Onana G
3 N. Mazraoui D
4 M. de Ligt D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
20 Diogo Dalot M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
18 Casemiro M
12 T. Malacia M
16 A. Diallo F
10 M. Rashford F
11 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (12)
9 R. Højlund
7 M. Mount
21 Antony
25 M. Ugarte
17 A. Garnacho
37 K. Mainoo
43 T. Collyer
2 V. Lindelöf
14 C. Eriksen
5 H. Maguire
15 L. Yoro
1 A. Bayındır

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Barbu · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.