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Conference League
Referee: A Karaoğlan
HJK Helsinki
S T S T T
2–2
Full-time
Molde
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 32%
38%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,19 xG 1,41
56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Aug -23 Molde – HJK Helsinki 2–0 25. Jul -23 HJK Helsinki – Molde 1–0

Match report

HJK Helsinki Molde
4′
🟨 Mads Enggård
14′
⚽ F. Ihler 0–1
M. Enggård
27′
⚽ F. Ihler 0–2
1–2 L. Erwin ⚽
L. Lingman
32′
Half-time 1–2
H. Bandé 🔁
↦ L. Möller
46′
B. Lyons-Foster 🔁
↦ M. Ylitolva
46′
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 🟨
54′
Lucas Lingman 🟨
63′
69′
🔁 M. Løvik
↦ M. Kaasa
69′
🔁 F. Gulbrandsen
↦ F. Ihler
A. Tanaka 🔁
↦ G. Kanellopoulos
73′
K. Meriluoto 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
79′
J. Toivio 🔁
↦ D. OShaughnessy
79′
83′
🔁 N. Ødegård
↦ S. Granaas
83′
🔁 I. Amundsen
↦ M. Bjørnbak
R. Hudd 🔁
↦ S. Hostikka
84′
2–2 K. Meriluoto ⚽
92′
Georgios Antzoulas 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

4-1-4-1
25 T. Nijhuis G
28 M. Ylitolva D
3 G. Antzoulas D
5 D. O'Shaughnessy D
30 N. Pallas D
10 L. Lingman M
22 L. Möller M
23 O. Kökçü M
8 G. Kanellopoulos M
7 S. Hostikka M
94 L. Erwin F
Bench (12)
17 H. Bandé
2 B. Lyons-Foster
37 A. Tanaka
42 K. Meriluoto
4 J. Toivio
20 R. Hudd
24 M. Boamah
1 J. Öst
54 P. Mentu
9 L. Plange
80 K. Palumets
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Molde

4-4-2
22 A. Posiadała G
21 M. Linnes D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
4 V. Lund D
28 K. Haugen D
20 K. Eriksen M
16 E. Breivik M
10 M. Enggård M
15 M. Kaasa M
23 S. Granaas F
9 F. Ihler F
Bench (9)
31 M. Løvik
8 F. Gulbrandsen
33 N. Ødegård
26 I. Amundsen
25 A. Hagelskjær
34 S. McDermott
18 H. Stenevik
29 G. Nyheim
32 P. Lervik

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.