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Conference League
Referee: S Karabayev
Dinamo Minsk
T T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Larne
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Minsk Larne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
0,5
0,9
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,16 xG 0,55
54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Dinamo Minsk Larne
Aleksei Gavrilovich 🟨
28′
Vladislav Kalinin 🟨
31′
33′
🟨 Mark Randall
36′
🟨 Andy Ryan
Half-time 0–0
T. Melnichenko 🔁
↦ R. Adeola
46′
G. Zherdev 🔁
↦ D. Podstrelov
46′
47′
🟨 Chris Gallagher
50′
🟨 Shaun Want
59′
🔁 D. Sloan
↦ M. Randall
60′
🔁 J. McEneff
↦ A. Ryan
65′
🟨 Cian Bolger
1–0 A. Gavrilovich ⚽
67′
2–0 G. Zherdev ⚽
V. Pigas
73′
76′
🔁 M. Lusty
↦ J. Thomson
76′
🔁 C. McKendry
↦ P. ONeill
J. Okoro 🔁
↦ P. Sedko
84′
B. Amian 🔁
↦ D. Kulikov
89′
92′
🟥 Cian Bolger
S. Politevich 🔁
↦ R. Begunov
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dinamo Minsk

4-3-3
21 F. Lapoukhov G
2 V. Pigas D
67 R. Begunov D
4 A. Gavrilovich D
66 Raí Lopes D
24 D. Kulikov M
26 V. Kalinin M
88 N. Demchenko M
74 P. Sedko F
14 R. Adeola F
19 D. Podstrelov F
Bench (11)
81 T. Melnichenko
11 G. Zherdev
3 J. Okoro
29 B. Amian
6 S. Politevich
33 D. Polyakov
20 A. Sachivko
17 I. Bakhar
10 V. Khvashchinskiy
80 I. Shkolik
49 A. Karatay

Coach: V. Skripchenko

Larne

5-3-2
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
2 S. Want D
18 C. Bolger D
4 A. Donnelly D
3 L. Ives D
8 M. Randall M
27 C. Gallagher M
6 J. Thomson M
29 A. Ryan F
9 P. O'Neill F
Bench (8)
25 D. Sloan
16 J. McEneff
30 M. Lusty
7 C. McKendry
14 B. Magee
31 J. Besant
20 S. Todd
50 D. Collett

Coach: N. Rooney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.