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Conference League
Referee: O Reitala
The New Saints
U T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

The New Saints Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,50 xG 2,57
36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

The New Saints Panathinaikos
J. Daniels 🔁
↦ A. Baker
11′
15′
⚽ F. Đuričić 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Jedvaj
↦ B. Schenkeveld
Harrison McGahey 🟨
60′
61′
⚽ F. Ioannidis 0–2
L. Smith 🔁
↦ D. Williams
63′
D. McManus 🔁
↦ J. Williams
63′
73′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ F. Đuričić
73′
🔁 P. Max
↦ F. Mladenović
S. Bradley 🔁
↦ R. Brobbel
78′
A. Wilson 🔁
↦ B. Clark
78′
82′
🟨 Giorgos Vagiannidis
89′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ G. Vagiannidis
89′
🔁 A. Ounahi
↦ T. Bakasetas
Sion Bradley 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

The New Saints

4-4-2
25 C. Roberts G
24 A. Baker D
16 H. McGahey D
2 J. Pask D
22 D. Davies D
8 R. Brobbel M
14 D. Williams M
10 D. Redmond M
17 J. Williams M
18 R. Holden F
19 B. Clark F
Bench (12)
7 J. Daniels
21 L. Smith
9 D. McManus
20 S. Bradley
28 A. Wilson
11 A. Cieślewicz
3 J. Marshall
30 J. Edwards
27 J. Canavan
31 B. Woollam
6 J. Bodenham
33 N. Doforo

Coach: C. Harrison

Panathinaikos

4-1-4-1
69 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
55 Willian Arão M
10 Tetê M
11 T. Bakasetas M
20 N. Maksimović M
31 F. Đuričić M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (10)
21 T. Jedvaj
17 D. Mancini
3 P. Max
27 G. Kotsiras
8 A. Ounahi
81 K. Lilo
30 A. Bregou
1 Y. Lodygin
29 A. Jeremejeff
80 A. Ntampizas

Coach: Rui Vitória

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.