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Conference League
Referee: M Milanović
FC Noah
T S T T U
1–3
Full-time
Apoel Nicosia
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Noah Apoel Nicosia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,9
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,01 xG 1,49
54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Noah Apoel Nicosia
23′
⚽ I. Chebake 0–1
A. Donis
Half-time 0–1
V. Pinson 🔁
↦ B. Mendoza
46′
Matheus Aiás 🟨
48′
1–1 Matheus Aiás ⚽
Gonçalo Silva
49′
Hélder Ferreira 🟨
51′
64′
🔁 D. Abagna
↦ G. Satsias
72′
🔁 P. Kattirtzis
↦ I. Chebake
72′
🔁 D. Ndongala
↦ A. Donis
Gonçalo Gregório 🔁
↦ A. Dashyan
79′
Virgile Pinson ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
89′
⚽ G. Kostadinov 1–2
R. Petrović
92′
🔁 A. Bah
↦ Y. El-Arabi
93′
⚽ D. Abagna 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

FC Noah

4-2-3-1
92 A. Ploshchadny G
26 A. Miljković D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
3 S. Muradyan D
14 B. Mendoza D
10 A. Dashyan M
17 G. Sangaré M
11 E. Çinari M
81 I. Oulad Omar M
7 Hélder Ferreira M
9 Matheus Aiás F
Bench (10)
93 V. Pinson
8 Gonçalo Gregório
30 G. Petrosyan
18 A. Avanesyan
19 H. Hambardzumyan
28 Pablo Santos
29 Arthur Coneglian
4 G. Þórarinsson
88 Y. Eteki
27 G. Manvelyan

Coach: Rui Mota

Apoel Nicosia

4-1-4-1
27 V. Belec G
16 M. Sušić D
3 R. Petrović D
34 K. Laifis D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
70 G. Kostadinov M
29 I. Chebake M
18 G. Satsias M
8 Sergio Tejera M
11 A. Donis M
9 Y. El-Arabi F
Bench (10)
17 D. Abagna
23 P. Kattirtzis
77 D. Ndongala
12 A. Bah
22 A. Christodoulou
5 L. Dvali
78 S. Michos
7 M. Meyer
35 P. Polycarpou
30 M. Corbu

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Milanović · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.