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Europa League
Referee: G Kabakov
Roma
U T U U S
1–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,44 xG 0,79
60% Possession 40%
5 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 10
6 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Roma Ath Bilbao
1–0 A. Dovbyk ⚽
Angeliño
32′
Manu Koné 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Andoni Gorosabel
Half-time 1–0
M. Soulé 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
46′
56′
🟨 Yuri Berchiche
60′
🔁 Ander Herrera
↦ Beñat Prados
60′
🔁 Nico Williams
↦ Álvaro Djaló
Tommaso Baldanzi 🟨
62′
N. Pisilli 🔁
↦ T. Baldanzi
63′
69′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ Unai Gómez
69′
🔁 De Marcos
↦ Andoni Gorosabel
Saud Abdulhamid 🔁
↦ Z. Çelik
71′
80′
🔁 Unai Núñez
↦ Dani Vivian
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ M. Koné
81′
E. Shomurodov 🔁
↦ A. Dovbyk
81′
83′
🟨 Óscar de Marcos
85′
⚽ Aitor Paredes 1–1
Unai Núñez
94′
🟨 Nico Williams
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Roma

3-5-2
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 Hermoso D
19 Z. Çelik M
17 M. Koné M
4 B. Cristante M
35 T. Baldanzi M
3 Angeliño M
21 P. Dybala F
11 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (10)
18 M. Soulé
61 N. Pisilli
12 Saud Abdulhamid
16 L. Paredes
14 E. Shomurodov
98 M. Ryan
66 Buba Sangaré
15 M. Hummels
92 S. El Shaarawy
89 R. Bellucci

Coach: I. Jurić

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Julen Agirrezabala G
2 Andoni Gorosabel D
3 Dani Vivian D
4 Aitor Paredes D
17 Yuri D
24 Beñat Prados M
16 Ruíz de Galarreta M
9 I. Williams M
20 Unai Gómez M
11 Álvaro Djaló M
12 Gorka Guruzeta F
Bench (12)
21 Ander Herrera
10 Nico Williams
7 Álex Berenguer
18 De Marcos
14 Unai Núñez
23 Mikel Jauregizar
32 Adama Boiro
15 Lekue
19 Javi Martón
26 Á. Padilla
6 Mikel Vesga
22 Nico Serrano

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.