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Europa League
Referee: C Kavanagh
Twente
U S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,86 xG 0,94
52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Twente Fenerbahce
Przemysław Tytoń 🟨
-5′
12′
🟨 Jayden Oosterwolde
Michel Vlap 🟨
13′
1–0 M. Vlap
Y. Regeer
28′
41′
🟨 Fred
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
Mees Hilgers 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 E. Džeko
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
62′
🔁 A. Saint-Maximin
↦ İ. Kahveci
S. Ltaief 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
67′
M. Kjølø 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
67′
68′
🟨 Rodrigo Becão
71′
D. Tadić 1–1
S. Amrabat
75′
🟨 Sofyan Amrabat
80′
🔁 M. Yandaş
↦ Fred
80′
🔁 İ. Yüksek
↦ D. Tadić
D. Rots 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
2 M. Hilgers D
38 M. Bruns D
34 A. Salah-Eddine D
8 Y. Regeer M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel M
14 S. Steijn M
7 M. van Bergen M
10 S. Lammers F
Bench (12)
30 S. Ltaief
4 M. Kjølø
11 D. Rots
39 M. Rots
22 P. Tytoń
16 I. El Maach
5 B. Kuipers
3 G. Lagerbielke
24 J. Mesbahi
41 G. Besselink
6 C. Eiting
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck

Coach: J. Oosting

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
16 M. Müldür D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
6 A. Djiku D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
34 S. Amrabat M
13 Fred M
17 İ. Kahveci M
53 S. Szymański M
10 D. Tadić M
19 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (10)
9 E. Džeko
97 A. Saint-Maximin
8 M. Yandaş
5 İ. Yüksek
95 Y. Akçiçek
3 S. Akaydin
20 C. Ünder
54 E. Çetin
84 Ö. Camcı
23 C. Tosun

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Kavanagh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.