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Europa League
Referee: H Feșnic
Lazio
U S T S S
4–1
Full-time
Nice
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,96 xG 1,03
40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lazio Nice
19′
🟨 Tom Louchet
1–0 Pedro ⚽
20′
2–0 V. Castellanos ⚽
35′
41′
⚽ J. Boga 2–1
Y. Moukoko
Half-time 2–1
M. Zaccagni 🔁
↦ L. Tchaouna
46′
N. Rovella 🔁
↦ F. Dele-Bashiru
46′
51′
🟨 Moise Bombito
3–1 V. Castellanos ⚽
N. Rovella
53′
Valentín Castellanos ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
55′
Mattia Zaccagni 🟨
59′
B. Dia 🔁
↦ M. Vecino
63′
66′
🟨 Marcin Bułka
4–1 M. Zaccagni ⚽
67′
68′
🔁 A. Abdi
↦ J. Clauss
68′
🔁 M. Cho
↦ B. Bouanani
A. Romagnoli 🔁
↦ Mario Gila
69′
69′
🔁 T. Ndombélé
↦ H. Boudaoui
69′
🔁 E. Guessand
↦ J. Boga
77′
🔁 S. Diop
↦ P. Rosario
M. Lazzari 🔁
↦ A. Marušić
79′
Luca Pellegrini 🟨
84′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lazio

4-2-3-1
35 C. Mandas G
77 A. Marušić D
4 Patric D
34 Mario Gila D
3 L. Pellegrini D
8 M. Guendouzi M
5 M. Vecino M
20 L. Tchaouna M
7 F. Dele-Bashiru M
9 Pedro M
11 V. Castellanos F
Bench (10)
10 M. Zaccagni
6 N. Rovella
19 B. Dia
13 A. Romagnoli
29 M. Lazzari
18 G. Isaksen
30 Nuno Tavares
55 A. Furlanetto
94 I. Provedel
2 S. Gigot

Coach: M. Baroni

Nice

3-4-2-1
1 M. Bułka G
55 Y. Ndayishimiye D
64 M. Bombito D
4 Dante D
92 J. Clauss M
6 H. Boudaoui M
8 P. Rosario M
20 T. Louchet M
19 B. Bouanani F
7 J. Boga F
15 Y. Moukoko F
Bench (11)
2 A. Abdi
25 M. Cho
22 T. Ndombélé
29 E. Guessand
10 S. Diop
33 A. Mendy
36 I. Camara
45 V. Orakpo
31 M. Dupé
77 T. Boulhendi
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Feșnic · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.