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Europa League
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Porto
T S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Hoffenheim
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,5
2,0
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
3,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,59 xG 1,30
45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Porto Hoffenheim
45′
🟨 Stanley N'Soki
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Tiago Djaló ⚽
Nico González
47′
Nehuén Pérez 🟨
54′
Fábio Vieira 🔁
↦ Iván Jaime
60′
70′
🔁 U. Tohumcu
↦ F. Grillitsch
70′
🔁 H. Tabaković
↦ A. Hložek
70′
🔁 M. Berisha
↦ J. Bruun Larsen
2–0 Samu Omorodion ⚽
75′
Alan Varela 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 T. Drexler
↦ Arthur Chaves
Nico González 🟨
83′
Zé Pedro 🔁
↦ Tiago Djaló
84′
84′
🔁 D. Jurásek
↦ A. Prass
Gonçalo Borges 🔁
↦ Pepê
92′
D. Namaso 🔁
↦ Samu Omorodion
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
52 Martim Fernandes D
24 N. Pérez D
3 Tiago Djaló D
74 Francisco Moura D
22 A. Varela M
16 Nico González M
11 Pepê M
17 Iván Jaime M
13 Galeno M
9 Samu Omorodion F
Bench (12)
10 Fábio Vieira
97 Zé Pedro
70 Gonçalo Borges
19 D. Namaso
21 Fran Navarro
8 M. Grujić
20 André Franco
23 João Mário
14 Cláudio Ramos
86 Rodrigo Mora
15 Vasco Sousa
6 S. Eustaquio

Coach: Vítor Bruno

Hoffenheim

3-4-1-2
1 O. Baumann G
35 Arthur Chaves D
16 A. Stach D
34 S. Nsoki D
15 V. Gendrey M
11 F. Grillitsch M
7 T. Bischof M
22 A. Prass M
27 A. Kramarić F
23 A. Hložek F
29 J. Bruun Larsen F
Bench (9)
17 U. Tohumcu
26 H. Tabaković
10 M. Berisha
4 T. Drexler
19 D. Jurásek
18 D. Samassékou
2 R. Hranáč
37 L. Philipp
25 K. Akpoguma

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.