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Europa League
Referee: N Minaković
Midtjylland
T S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Hoffenheim
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,3
4,5
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,23 xG 1,48
49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland Hoffenheim
Darío Osorio 🟨
22′
1–0 D. Osorio ⚽
J. Andersson
42′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 A. Prass
↦ J. Bruun Larsen
61′
🔁 M. Berisha
↦ H. Tabaković
J. Kuchta 🔁
↦ Franculino Djú
63′
67′
🔁 P. Kadeřábek
↦ V. Gendrey
73′
🔁 T. Drexler
↦ S. Nsoki
73′
🔁 M. Moerstedt
↦ M. Bülter
P. Bravo 🔁
↦ D. Castillo
74′
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
74′
K. Askildsen 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
77′
V. Bak Jensen 🔁
↦ J. Andersson
77′
89′
⚽ M. Moerstedt 1–1
P. Kadeřábek
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Ólafsson G
43 K. Mbabu D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
6 J. Andersson D
11 D. Osorio M
5 E. Martínez M
21 D. Castillo M
58 A. Şimşir M
7 Franculino Djú F
14 E. Chilufya F
Bench (9)
25 J. Kuchta
19 P. Bravo
20 V. Byskov
17 K. Askildsen
55 V. Bak Jensen
53 V. Lind
31 L. Selin
1 J. Lössl
3 Lee Han-Beom

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Hoffenheim

3-4-2-1
1 O. Baumann G
25 K. Akpoguma D
11 F. Grillitsch D
34 S. Nsoki D
15 V. Gendrey M
7 T. Bischof M
17 U. Tohumcu M
21 M. Bülter M
29 J. Bruun Larsen F
23 A. Hložek F
26 H. Tabaković F
Bench (9)
22 A. Prass
10 M. Berisha
3 P. Kadeřábek
4 T. Drexler
33 M. Moerstedt
35 Arthur Chaves
37 L. Philipp
28 F. Micheler
18 D. Samassékou

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Minaković · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.