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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Paris SG
S S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Monaco
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
56%
22%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
78%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
4,1
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,21 xG 1,32
73% Possession 27%
21 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Feb -26 Monaco – Paris SG 2–3 29. Nov -25 Monaco – Paris SG 1–0 7. Feb -25 Paris SG – Monaco 4–1 18. Dec -24 Monaco – Paris SG 2–4 1. Mar -24 Monaco – Paris SG 0–0

Match report

Paris SG Monaco
-5′
🟨 Samuel Nibombe
24′
🟨 Denis Zakaria
45′
⚽ M. Akliouche 0–1
M. Coulibaly
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Vanderson
55′
🟨 Mamadou Coulibaly
58′
🟨 Mamadou Coulibaly
58′
🟥 Mamadou Coulibaly
1–1 Marquinhos ⚽
D. Doue
60′
62′
🔁 J. Teze
↦ A. Bamba
2–1 K. Kvaratskhelia ⚽
A. Hakimi
66′
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ B. Barcola
69′
74′
🔁 C. Mawissa
↦ D. Zakaria
74′
🔁 M. Biereth
↦ F. Balogun
74′
🔁 S. Adingra
↦ M. Akliouche
L. Hernandez 🔁
↦ N. Mendes
80′
D. Fernandez 🔁
↦ W. Zaire-Emery
87′
G. Ramos 🔁
↦ D. Doue
88′
90′
⚽ J. Teze 2–2
94′
🔁 S. Nibombe
↦ Vanderson
Matvey Safonov 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
33 W. Zaire-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
87 J. Neves M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
14 D. Doue F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (9)
30 L. Chevalier
89 R. Marin
4 L. Beraldo
6 I. Zabarnyi
9 G. Ramos
19 Lee Kang-In
21 L. Hernandez
27 D. Fernandez
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Monaco

3-5-2
16 P. Kohn G
5 T. Kehrer D
6 D. Zakaria D
25 W. Faes D
2 Vanderson M
28 M. Coulibaly M
23 A. Bamba M
15 L. Camara M
12 Caio Henrique M
11 M. Akliouche F
9 F. Balogun F
Bench (10)
40 J. Stawiecki
50 Y. Lienard
4 J. Teze
13 C. Mawissa
14 M. Biereth
17 S. Idumbo
24 S. Adingra
31 A. Fati
41 I. Toure
44 S. Nibombe

Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.