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Europa League
Referee: Robert Hennessy
Utrecht
U S T T T
0–2
Full-time
Genk
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 46%
42%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,06 xG 1,61
58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
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Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.