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Pro League

Referee: N Verboomen

Genk

T T T T S

1–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 11/17 matches

Win Ø 26%

27%

24%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

73%

47%

Both score Ø 75%

91%

59%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,93 xG 0,47

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 15. · Cercle Brugge 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	11	1	3	+13	+4.4	34
2	St. Gilloise	14	9	5	0	+21	+16.7	32
3	St Truiden	13	9	2	2	+7	+11.9	29
4	Mechelen	14	7	5	2	+7	-3.9	26
5	Gent	12	8	1	3	+9	+3.8	25
6	Waregem	17	6	3	8	-3	-6.2	21
7	Anderlecht	13	5	4	4	+2	+3.4	19
8	Antwerp	15	5	4	6	+0	-3.9	19
9	Cercle Brugge	17	4	5	8	-2	+1.4	17
10	Westerlo	15	4	5	6	-3	+4.9	17
11	RAAL La Louviere	17	4	5	8	-6	-7.1	17
12	Charleroi	14	4	3	7	-4	-1.6	15
13	Standard	15	4	3	8	-13	-8.9	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	5	7	-7	-4.6	14
15	Genk	11	3	3	5	-3	+0.4	12
16	Dender	17	2	4	11	-18	-10.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+16	+9.0	18
2	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+4	+0.5	16
3	Gent	6	5	0	1	+9	+3.2	15
4	St Truiden	7	5	0	2	+2	+5.1	15
5	Waregem	8	4	1	3	+2	-0.9	13
6	Antwerp	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.1	12
7	Westerlo	7	3	2	2	+4	+5.8	11
8	Mechelen	6	2	3	1	+1	-0.4	9
9	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.4	9
10	RAAL La Louviere	8	2	3	3	-2	-4.2	9
11	Anderlecht	6	2	2	2	+2	+4.4	8
12	Genk	6	2	1	3	-2	+3.1	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	1	3	4	-1	-1.4	6
14	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	-5	+1.8	6
15	Dender	8	1	1	6	-10	-5.6	4
16	Standard	7	0	3	4	-9	-2.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+9	+3.9	18
2	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
3	St. Gilloise	8	3	5	0	+5	+7.7	14
4	St Truiden	6	4	2	0	+5	+6.8	14
5	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
6	Cercle Brugge	7	3	2	2	+3	-0.4	11
7	Anderlecht	7	3	2	2	+0	-1.0	11
8	Gent	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.5	10
9	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	2	5	-4	-3.0	8
10	Waregem	9	2	2	5	-5	-5.2	8
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	2	2	3	-6	-3.1	8
12	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	-1	-3.9	7
13	Charleroi	7	2	0	5	-4	-1.2	6
14	Westerlo	8	1	3	4	-7	-0.9	6
15	Dender	9	1	3	5	-8	-5.0	6
16	Genk	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.