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Pro League

Referee: Lothar D'hondt

Waregem

U T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Genk

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 15/10 matches

Win Ø 32%

33%

30%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

47%

70%

Both score Ø 75%

60%

90%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,31 xG 0,45

39% Possession 61%

22 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 8. · Genk 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	4	0	+21	+16.4	31
2	Club Brugge	14	10	1	3	+12	+3.8	31
3	Mechelen	14	7	5	2	+7	-3.9	26
4	St Truiden	11	7	2	2	+5	+10.5	23
5	Gent	11	7	1	3	+5	+2.6	22
6	Anderlecht	13	5	4	4	+2	+3.4	19
7	Antwerp	14	5	4	5	+1	-3.3	19
8	Waregem	15	5	3	7	-3	-7.4	18
9	Westerlo	14	4	5	5	-1	+4.3	17
10	RAAL La Louviere	16	4	5	7	-5	-6.5	17
11	Charleroi	14	4	3	7	-4	-1.6	15
12	Standard	14	4	3	7	-9	-7.8	15
13	Cercle Brugge	16	3	5	8	-4	+2.0	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	4	6	-6	-3.5	13
15	Genk	10	3	3	4	-2	+2.3	12
16	Dender	16	1	4	11	-19	-11.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+16	+9.0	18
2	Gent	6	5	0	1	+9	+3.2	15
3	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+3	-0.2	13
4	Antwerp	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.1	12
5	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
6	Westerlo	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.2	11
7	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
8	Mechelen	6	2	3	1	+1	-0.4	9
9	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.4	9
10	RAAL La Louviere	7	2	3	2	-1	-3.6	9
11	Anderlecht	6	2	2	2	+2	+4.4	8
12	Genk	6	2	1	3	-2	+3.1	7
13	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	-5	+1.8	6
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-1	-1.1	5
15	Standard	6	0	3	3	-5	-1.3	3
16	Dender	7	0	1	6	-11	-6.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+9	+3.9	18
2	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
3	St. Gilloise	7	3	4	0	+5	+7.4	13
4	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
5	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+4	+6.2	11
6	Anderlecht	7	3	2	2	+0	-1.0	11
7	Cercle Brugge	6	2	2	2	+1	+0.2	8
8	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	2	5	-4	-3.0	8
9	Waregem	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.6	8
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	2	2	2	-5	-2.4	8
11	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
12	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
13	Charleroi	7	2	0	5	-4	-1.2	6
14	Westerlo	8	1	3	4	-7	-0.9	6
15	Dender	9	1	3	5	-8	-5.0	6
16	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.