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Championship
Referee: Lewis Smith
Coventry
S T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Leicester
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 48%
58%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
58%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
58%
77%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,45 xG 1,41
51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 1. · Leicester 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 26 15 7 4 +28 +20.0 52
2 Ipswich 25 12 8 5 +18 +19.6 44
3 Preston 26 11 10 5 +11 -3.6 43
4 Millwall 25 12 7 6 -2 +1.9 43
5 Middlesbrough 24 12 6 6 +5 +6.7 42
6 Watford 25 11 8 6 +8 +7.3 41
7 Stoke 26 12 4 10 +9 -4.2 40
8 Wrexham 26 10 10 6 +6 -5.6 40
9 Bristol City 26 11 6 9 +9 +0.6 39
10 Hull 23 11 5 7 +3 -11.8 38
11 QPR 26 11 5 10 -1 +1.9 38
12 Leicester 26 10 7 9 -1 -8.7 37
13 Derby 26 9 8 9 +0 -6.0 35
14 Birmingham 26 9 7 10 -1 +10.1 34
15 Southampton 24 8 8 8 +4 +9.5 32
16 Sheffield United 25 10 2 13 -2 +12.3 32
17 Swansea 26 9 5 12 -6 -8.2 32
18 West Brom 27 9 4 14 -7 +4.9 31
19 Charlton 25 7 8 10 -7 -8.8 29
20 Blackburn 25 7 7 11 -6 +7.2 28
21 Portsmouth 24 6 7 11 -14 -7.7 25
22 Norwich 26 6 6 14 -11 -8.8 24
23 Oxford 25 5 7 13 -10 -7.1 22
24 Sheffield Weds 25 1 8 16 -33 -21.5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Leicester
10′
J. James 0–1
B. De Cordova-Reid
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Simms
J. Rudoni
47′
T. Sakamoto 🔁
↦ R. Esse
67′
H. Wright 🔁
↦ E. Simms
67′
70′
🔁 L. Page
↦ B. De Cordova-Reid
70′
🔁 P. Daka
↦ J. Ayew
J. Eccles 🔁
↦ V. Torp
72′
79′
🔁 J. Monga
↦ S. Mavididi
B. Thomas-Asante 🔁
↦ J. Rudoni
83′
85′
🟨 Jeremy Monga
2–1 H. Wright
85′
88′
🟨 Caleb Okoli
91′
🔁 B. Soumare
↦ O. Skipp
91′
🔁 S. Thomas
↦ R. Pereira
93′
🟨 Jordan James
95′
🟨 Silko Thomas
Jay Dasilva 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Coventry

4-2-3-1
19 C. Rushworth G
27 M. van Ewijk D
22 J. Latibeaudiere D
15 L. Kitching D
3 J. Dasilva D
29 V. Torp M
6 M. Grimes M
14 R. Esse M
5 J. Rudoni M
10 E. Mason-Clark M
9 E. Simms F
Bench (9)
13 B. Wilson
7 T. Sakamoto
8 J. Allen
11 H. Wright
18 Yang Min-Hyuk
21 J. Bidwell
23 B. Thomas-Asante
26 L. Woolfenden
28 J. Eccles

Coach: Frank Lampard

Leicester

4-2-3-1
1 J. Stolarczyk G
21 R. Pereira D
5 C. Okoli D
4 B. Nelson D
33 L. Thomas D
6 J. James M
22 O. Skipp M
7 I. Fatawu M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
10 S. Mavididi M
9 J. Ayew F
Bench (9)
31 A. Begovic
23 J. Vestergaard
56 O. Aluko
17 H. Choudhury
24 B. Soumare
25 L. Page
39 S. Thomas
28 J. Monga
20 P. Daka

Coach: Marti Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
4,03
B
4,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lewis Smith · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.