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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Genk

T U S S T

2–0

Full-time

Waregem

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 19/25 matches

Win Ø 36%

47%

24%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

68%

72%

Both score Ø 72%

68%

76%

Average goals

3,7

3,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,4

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 12. · Waregem 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	22	18	2	2	+41	56
2	Anderlecht	23	14	7	2	+38	49
3	Antwerp	23	14	4	5	+18	46
4	Club Brugge	22	13	5	4	+15	44
5	Charleroi	23	12	6	5	+14	42
6	Kortrijk	28	10	10	8	+3	40
7	Cercle Brugge	28	11	5	12	+6	38
8	Mechelen	23	11	2	10	-4	35
9	St Truiden	28	10	4	14	-8	34
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	26	8	9	9	-2	33
11	Standard	26	8	8	10	-10	32
12	Genk	19	9	4	6	+16	31
13	Gent	21	8	7	6	+7	31
14	Oostende	26	9	3	14	-21	30
15	Eupen	28	7	7	14	-14	28
16	Waregem	25	6	7	12	-20	25
17	Seraing	26	7	2	17	-26	23
18	Seraing United	26	7	2	17	-26	23
19	Beerschot VA	27	4	4	19	-27	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Anderlecht	12	7	4	1	+17	25
3	Club Brugge	12	7	4	1	+12	25
4	Mechelen	12	8	1	3	+9	25
5	Antwerp	11	7	2	2	+11	23
6	Kortrijk	14	5	4	5	-1	19
7	Genk	10	5	3	2	+12	18
8	Gent	10	5	3	2	+8	18
9	Charleroi	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	3	5	+0	18
11	Cercle Brugge	14	5	2	7	+1	17
12	St Truiden	14	5	2	7	-1	17
13	Seraing	13	5	2	6	-6	17
14	Seraing United	13	5	2	6	-6	17
15	Beerschot VA	14	4	1	9	-10	13
16	Oostende	13	4	1	8	-17	13
17	Eupen	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Waregem	12	3	3	6	-10	12
19	Standard	13	2	5	6	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	9	1	1	+24	28
2	Anderlecht	11	7	3	1	+21	24
3	Charleroi	12	7	3	2	+9	24
4	Antwerp	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Cercle Brugge	14	6	3	5	+5	21
6	Kortrijk	14	5	6	3	+4	21
7	Standard	13	6	3	4	-2	21
8	Club Brugge	10	6	1	3	+3	19
9	Oostende	13	5	2	6	-4	17
10	St Truiden	14	5	2	7	-7	17
11	Eupen	15	4	4	7	-5	16
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	6	4	-2	15
13	Genk	9	4	1	4	+4	13
14	Gent	11	3	4	4	-1	13
15	Waregem	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Mechelen	11	3	1	7	-13	10
17	Seraing	13	2	0	11	-20	6
18	Seraing United	13	2	0	11	-20	6
19	Beerschot VA	13	0	3	10	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.