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Europa League
Referee: Orel Grinfeeld
Genk
U U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Basel
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,86 xG 0,65
47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Genk Basel
1–0 Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽
Z. El Ouahdi
14′
2–0 K. Karetsas ⚽
D. Heymans
45′
Half-time 2–0
N. Adedeji-Sternberg 🔁
↦ Y. Sor
46′
57′
⚽ P. Otele 2–1
B. Traore
60′
🔁 J. Agbonifo
↦ L. Leroy
60′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ M. Broschinski
Daan Heymans 🟨
62′
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 🟨
62′
N. Sattlberger 🔁
↦ D. Heymans
75′
R. Mirisola 🔁
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
75′
76′
🟨 Bénie Traoré
79′
🔁 K. Koindredi
↦ A. Bacanin
79′
🔁 X. Shaqiri
↦ K. Tsunemoto
Matte Smets 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 M. Soticek
↦ P. Otele
Konstantinos Karetsas 🟨
89′
A. Palacios 🔁
↦ Y. Medina
91′
I. Bangoura 🔁
↦ P. Hrosovsky
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 M. Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
19 Y. Medina D
17 P. Hrosovsky M
8 B. Heynen M
20 K. Karetsas M
38 D. Heymans M
14 Y. Sor M
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (12)
26 T. Lawal
71 B. Stevens
7 J. Steuckers
21 I. Bangoura
23 A. Bibout
24 N. Sattlberger
29 R. Mirisola
30 A. Yokoyama
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
34 A. Palacios
44 J. Kongolo
99 J. Erabi

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Basel

4-3-3
1 M. Hitz G
6 K. Tsunemoto D
32 J. Adjetey D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
22 L. Leroy M
5 Metinho M
14 A. Bacanin M
11 B. Traore F
17 M. Broschinski F
7 P. Otele F
Bench (12)
13 M. Salvi
16 T. Spycher
3 N. Vouilloz
8 K. Koindredi
9 J. Agbonifo
10 X. Shaqiri
19 M. Soticek
21 I. Salah
23 A. Ajeti
26 A. Barisic
27 K. Ruegg
29 M. Cisse

Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.