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LaLiga2
Referee: Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos
2–4
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cultural Leonesa Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cultural Leonesa 15. · Sp Gijon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 21 11 5 5 +14 +0.2 38
2 Las Palmas 21 10 8 3 +13 -0.1 38
3 Castellon 22 11 5 6 +11 +3.0 38
4 Almeria 21 10 6 5 +10 +0.9 36
5 La Coruna 21 9 7 5 +11 +2.7 34
6 Cadiz 21 9 7 5 +2 -0.8 34
7 Malaga 21 9 5 7 +5 +1.5 32
8 Burgos 21 9 5 7 +5 +2.5 32
9 Cordoba 21 8 8 5 +3 +0.6 32
10 Ceuta 22 9 5 8 -4 -6.3 32
11 Sp Gijon 21 9 3 9 -3 +1.2 30
12 Valladolid 22 7 7 8 +1 +3.1 28
13 Leganes 22 6 8 8 +0 +2.0 26
14 Andorra 21 6 7 8 -6 +1.0 25
15 Cultural Leonesa 21 7 4 10 -8 -7.8 25
16 Eibar 21 6 6 9 -3 +0.5 24
17 Albacete 21 6 6 9 -8 +1.3 24
18 Sociedad B 21 6 5 10 -2 -1.2 23
19 Huesca 21 6 5 10 -10 +1.3 23
20 Granada 21 4 10 7 -4 +0.1 22
21 Zaragoza 21 5 5 11 -14 -2.8 20
22 Mirandes 21 4 5 12 -13 -3.2 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,06
U
3,02
B ✓
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.