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Serie B
Referee: Davide Di Marco
Bari
U U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Juve Stabia
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
16%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,32 xG 2,63
57% Possession 43%
6 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 19. · Juve Stabia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Frosinone 20 12 6 2 +20 +3.3 42
2 Venezia 20 12 5 3 +21 +16.9 41
3 Monza 20 11 5 4 +12 +7.9 38
4 Palermo 19 9 7 3 +15 +3.9 34
5 Cesena 20 10 4 6 +5 +3.4 34
6 Catanzaro 20 8 7 5 +3 -2.2 31
7 Modena 19 8 5 6 +9 +5.6 29
8 Empoli 20 7 6 7 +1 +1.5 27
9 Juve Stabia 19 6 9 4 -1 -1.6 27
10 Carrarese 20 6 8 6 -3 -5.5 26
11 Padova 20 6 7 7 -2 -4.0 25
12 Avellino 20 6 7 7 -9 -7.8 25
13 Sudtirol 20 4 10 6 -3 -3.5 22
14 Reggiana 20 5 5 10 -6 -2.6 20
15 Virtus Entella 20 4 8 8 -9 -5.1 20
16 Mantova 20 5 4 11 -11 -3.6 19
17 Sampdoria 20 4 6 10 -8 +1.0 18
18 Spezia 19 4 5 10 -9 +0.6 17
19 Bari 19 3 8 8 -13 -5.0 17
20 Pescara 19 2 8 9 -12 -3.1 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U
2,93
B ✓
2,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Davide Di Marco · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.