Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bari
Juve Stabia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Frosinone
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | +20 | +3.3 | 42 |
| 2 |
Venezia
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | +21 | +16.9 | 41 |
| 3 |
Monza
|
20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | +12 | +7.9 | 38 |
| 4 |
Palermo
|
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | +15 | +3.9 | 34 |
| 5 |
Cesena
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | +5 | +3.4 | 34 |
| 6 |
Catanzaro
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +3 | -2.2 | 31 |
| 7 |
Modena
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +9 | +5.6 | 29 |
| 8 |
Empoli
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | +1 | +1.5 | 27 |
| 9 |
Juve Stabia
|
19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | -1 | -1.6 | 27 |
| 10 |
Carrarese
|
20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | -3 | -5.5 | 26 |
| 11 |
Padova
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | -2 | -4.0 | 25 |
| 12 |
Avellino
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | -9 | -7.8 | 25 |
| 13 |
Sudtirol
|
20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -3 | -3.5 | 22 |
| 14 |
Reggiana
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -6 | -2.6 | 20 |
| 15 |
Virtus Entella
|
20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -9 | -5.1 | 20 |
| 16 |
Mantova
|
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -11 | -3.6 | 19 |
| 17 |
Sampdoria
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -8 | +1.0 | 18 |
| 18 |
Spezia
|
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -9 | +0.6 | 17 |
| 19 |
Bari
|
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -13 | -5.0 | 17 |
| 20 |
Pescara
|
19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -12 | -3.1 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Carrarese
Bari
Bari
Avellino
Bari
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
Bari
Bari
Pescara
Davide Di Marco · 10 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.