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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Antwerp
U S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 25/30 matches
Win Ø 58%
72%
43%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
57%
Both score Ø 41%
32%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
28 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 0
5 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antwerp 2. · Charleroi 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 26 20 5 1 +45 65
2 Antwerp 25 18 4 3 +33 58
3 St. Gilloise 24 18 3 3 +25 57
4 Gent 24 14 3 7 +21 45
5 Club Brugge 25 13 6 6 +16 45
6 Anderlecht 30 13 6 11 +12 45
7 St Truiden 32 12 9 11 -2 45
8 Charleroi 30 13 5 12 +1 44
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 31 11 9 11 +7 42
10 Cercle Brugge 26 10 10 6 +6 40
11 Westerlo 25 11 6 8 +7 39
12 Mechelen 30 10 6 14 -12 36
13 Kortrijk 32 10 6 16 -17 36
14 Standard 25 10 5 10 -1 35
15 Eupen 31 8 6 17 -21 30
16 Waregem 32 6 10 16 -26 28
17 Oostende 32 6 7 19 -30 25
18 Seraing 30 5 4 21 -32 19
19 Seraing United 30 5 4 21 -32 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Charleroi
Arbnor Muja ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
12′
15′
Y. Badji 0–1
A. Zorgane
36′
🟨 Hervé Koffi
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 Damien Marcq
55′
🟨 Jackson Tchatchoua
60′
🟨 Damien Marcq
60′
🟥 Damien Marcq
62′
🔁 M. Boukamir
↦ A. Hosseinzadeh
75′
🔁 J. Doke
↦ J. Tchatchoua
A. Yusuf 🔁
↦ M. Keita
80′
C. Scott 🔁
↦ A. Muja
85′
85′
🔁 V. Ozornwafor
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
85′
🔁 D. Heymans
↦ Y. Badji
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
2 R. De Laet D
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
51 W. Pacho D
34 J. Bataille D
48 A. Vermeeren M
27 M. Keita M
11 A. Muja M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
10 M. Balikwisha M
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (7)
8 A. Yusuf
32 C. Scott
17 A. Soussi
22 G. Ávila
21 S. Vines
26 O. De Wolf
52 K. Corbanie

Coach: M. van Bommel

Charleroi

3-4-1-2
16 H. Koffi G
21 S. Andreou D
25 D. Marcq D
3 S. Knežević D
38 J. Tchatchoua M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
7 I. Mbenza M
99 A. Hosseinzadeh F
10 Y. Badji F
9 V. Bayo F
Bench (7)
32 M. Boukamir
15 J. Doke
66 V. Ozornwafor
18 D. Heymans
27 R. Monticelli
55 M. Delavallée
17 A. Bongiovanni

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U
3,83
B ✓
4,62
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.