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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Antwerp
S S T S U
3–0
Full-time
Charleroi
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 53%
56%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
61%
72%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 5. · Charleroi 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 19 15 2 2 +32 47
2 Anderlecht 19 12 6 1 +36 42
3 Club Brugge 19 12 4 3 +15 40
4 Kortrijk 23 10 8 5 +8 38
5 Antwerp 18 10 3 5 +11 33
6 Charleroi 18 9 5 4 +12 32
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 7 8 8 -2 29
8 Mechelen 20 9 2 9 -5 29
9 Genk 17 8 4 5 +14 28
10 Cercle Brugge 23 8 4 11 +1 28
11 Gent 18 7 6 5 +7 27
12 Standard 21 7 5 9 -11 26
13 Oostende 22 8 2 12 -19 26
14 Eupen 22 7 4 11 -7 25
15 St Truiden 23 7 3 13 -13 24
16 Waregem 22 6 5 11 -18 23
17 Seraing 21 6 1 14 -19 19
18 Seraing United 21 6 1 14 -19 19
19 Beerschot VA 21 3 3 15 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Charleroi
1–0 M. Frey
M. Balikwisha
11′
2–0 M. Frey
B. Manuel
14′
37′
🟨 Jackson Tchatchoua
Birger Verstraete 🟨
39′
40′
🟨 Jules Van Cleemput
Half-time 2–0
65′
🔁 A. Descotte
↦ R. Morioka
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ M. Frey
66′
K. Miyoshi 🔁
↦ B. Manuel
67′
Jelle Bataille 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ J. Kayembe
3–0 M. Samatta
M. Balikwisha
77′
P. Gerkens 🔁
↦ M. Balikwisha
82′
88′
🔁 R. Donnez
↦ A. Zaroury
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-3-1-2
1 J. Butez G
24 D. Dessoleil D
3 B. Engels D
21 S. Vines D
34 J. Bataille D
4 R. Nainggolan M
6 B. Verstraete M
8 A. Yusuf M
99 M. Frey F
14 B. Manuel F
10 M. Balikwisha M
Bench (7)
70 M. Samatta
19 K. Miyoshi
16 P. Gerkens
9 J. Eggestein
26 O. De Wolf
61 Dinis Almeida
38 F. Haroun

Coach: B. Priske

Charleroi

3-4-3
1 B. Kamara G
12 J. Kayembe M
3 S. Knežević D
4 J. Van Cleemput D
21 S. Andreou D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
38 J. Tchatchoua M
9 V. Bayo F
70 A. Zaroury F
Bench (7)
15 A. Descotte
34 A. Benchaib
27 R. Donnez
5 L. Bessilé
32 M. Boukamir
13 D. Desprez
39 K. Lokembo

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,66
B
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.