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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
St. Gilloise
T T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 24/30 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
71%
63%
Both score Ø 60%
67%
53%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 3. · Mechelen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 26 20 5 1 +45 65
2 Antwerp 26 18 4 4 +32 58
3 St. Gilloise 24 18 3 3 +25 57
4 Anderlecht 31 14 6 11 +14 48
5 Charleroi 31 14 5 12 +2 47
6 Gent 24 14 3 7 +21 45
7 Club Brugge 25 13 6 6 +16 45
8 St Truiden 32 12 9 11 -2 45
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 32 11 9 12 +5 42
10 Cercle Brugge 26 10 10 6 +6 40
11 Westerlo 25 11 6 8 +7 39
12 Mechelen 30 10 6 14 -12 36
13 Kortrijk 32 10 6 16 -17 36
14 Standard 25 10 5 10 -1 35
15 Eupen 31 8 6 17 -21 30
16 Waregem 32 6 10 16 -26 28
17 Oostende 32 6 7 19 -30 25
18 Seraing 30 5 4 21 -32 19
19 Seraing United 30 5 4 21 -32 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Mechelen
4′
J. Ngoy 0–1
Alessio Da Cruz
1–1 L. Lapoussin
S. Adingra
10′
44′
🔁 I. Swers
↦ L. Bijker
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Teuma
56′
61′
🟨 Jordi Vanlerberghe
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
73′
O. El Azzouzi 🔁
↦ L. Amani
73′
77′
🔁 E. Agyei
↦ J. Van Hecke
Gustaf Nilsson 🟨
82′
C. Terho 🔁
↦ S. Adingra
85′
87′
🟨 Iebe Swers
Cameron Puertas 🔁
↦ T. Teuma
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
59 I. Kandouss D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
11 S. Adingra F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
29 G. Nilsson
6 O. El Azzouzi
17 C. Terho
23 Cameron Puertas
28 K. Machida
19 G. François
21 L. Pirard

Coach: K. Geraerts

Mechelen

4-3-3
15 Y. Thoelen G
6 J. Van Hecke D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
4 D. Wouters D
3 L. Bijker D
66 B. Verstraete M
22 Alessio Da Cruz M
14 D. Lavalée M
7 G. Hairemans F
9 J. Ngoy F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
2 I. Swers
23 E. Agyei
19 K. Mrabti
28 F. Soelle Soelle
31 O. Annell
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo
27 D. Bates

Coach: S. Defour

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
4,84
B
7,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.