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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
Antwerp
U S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 17/20 matches
Win Ø 52%
53%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
59%
45%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 5. · Charleroi 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 10 6 6 +7 36
2 Genk 16 10 5 1 +19 35
3 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +23 34
4 Charleroi 20 10 4 6 +7 34
5 Antwerp 17 9 5 3 +13 32
6 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
7 Kortrijk 21 8 5 8 -2 29
8 Gent 19 9 1 9 +7 28
9 Anderlecht 17 6 9 2 +9 27
10 Waregem 20 8 3 9 -5 27
11 Standard 18 6 6 6 +1 24
12 Eupen 18 5 9 4 -4 24
13 Oostende 17 6 4 7 +2 22
14 Cercle Brugge 20 7 0 13 -7 21
15 Mechelen 17 5 4 8 -7 19
16 St Truiden 20 4 6 10 -10 18
17 Waasland-Beveren 18 5 3 10 -14 18
18 Beveren 18 5 3 10 -14 18
19 Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Charleroi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Berahino
↦ Lucas Ribeiro Costa
51′
A. Seck 1–0
own goal
K. Miyoshi 🔁
↦ N. Ampomah
57′
C. Benavente 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
68′
S. Juklerød 🔁
↦ J. Lukaku
68′
68′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ A. Benchaib
2–0 C. Benavente
S. Juklerød
73′
3–0 D. Mbokani
78′
80′
🔁 M. Diagne
↦ J. Kayembe
82′
🔁 Ł. Teodorczyk
↦ G. Gillet
Dieumerci Mbokani 🟨
87′
A. De Sart 🔁
↦ P. Gerkens
89′
N. De Pauw 🔁
↦ Buta
89′
90′
🟨 Modou Diagne
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

3-4-1-2
46 J. Butez G
2 R. De Laet D
94 J. Lukaku D
30 Buta D
26 J. Gelin D
4 A. Seck D
38 F. Haroun M
11 L. Refaelov M
16 P. Gerkens M
23 N. Ampomah F
70 D. Mbokani F
Bench (7)
19 K. Miyoshi
24 C. Benavente
6 S. Juklerød
25 A. De Sart
14 N. De Pauw
18 M. Hongla Yma
1 A. Beiranvand

Coach: I. Leko

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 J. Van Cleemput D
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
34 A. Benchaib M
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa M
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
38 S. Berahino
77 M. Bruno
5 M. Diagne
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
22 G. Hendrickx
6 G. Zajkov
40 R. Descamps

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,45
B
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.