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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Malec

Warta Poznan

T S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

38%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

29%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

38%

46%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

16 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 6. · Lechia Gdansk 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	25	19	4	2	+35	61
2	Legia	25	15	7	3	+13	52
3	Lech Poznan	24	11	7	6	+10	40
4	Pogon Szczecin	25	11	7	7	+2	40
5	Widzew Lodz	24	10	7	7	+4	37
6	Warta Poznan	24	9	7	8	+5	34
7	Cracovia	25	9	7	9	+4	34
8	Wisla Plock	25	9	5	11	+0	32
9	Radomiak Radom	25	9	5	11	-3	32
10	Stal Mielec	25	8	6	11	-4	30
11	Slask Wroclaw	25	7	9	9	-9	30
12	Zaglebie	25	8	6	11	-12	30
13	Jagiellonia	25	6	11	8	+1	29
14	Gornik Zabrze	25	7	7	11	-6	28
15	Piast Gliwice	24	7	6	11	-1	27
16	Korona Kielce	25	7	6	12	-10	27
17	Lechia Gdansk	24	7	4	13	-15	25
18	Legnica	24	4	7	13	-14	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	12	1	0	+27	37
2	Legia	12	8	4	0	+11	28
3	Wisla Plock	12	7	2	3	+8	23
4	Cracovia	12	6	3	3	+8	21
5	Jagiellonia	13	6	2	5	+5	20
6	Lech Poznan	12	6	1	5	+4	19
7	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	4	3	+1	19
8	Widzew Lodz	12	5	3	4	+2	18
9	Slask Wroclaw	13	4	6	3	-2	18
10	Korona Kielce	12	5	2	5	+0	17
11	Stal Mielec	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Lechia Gdansk	12	4	3	5	-4	15
13	Legnica	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Radomiak Radom	13	4	2	7	-4	14
15	Gornik Zabrze	13	3	4	6	-5	13
16	Piast Gliwice	12	3	3	6	-1	12
17	Warta Poznan	12	2	6	4	-1	12
18	Zaglebie	13	2	4	7	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Legia	13	7	3	3	+2	24
3	Warta Poznan	12	7	1	4	+6	22
4	Lech Poznan	12	5	6	1	+6	21
5	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Zaglebie	12	6	2	4	-3	20
7	Widzew Lodz	12	5	4	3	+2	19
8	Radomiak Radom	12	5	3	4	+1	18
9	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	+0	15
10	Gornik Zabrze	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Stal Mielec	13	4	2	7	-6	14
12	Cracovia	13	3	4	6	-4	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	12	3	3	6	-7	12
14	Korona Kielce	13	2	4	7	-10	10
15	Lechia Gdansk	12	3	1	8	-11	10
16	Jagiellonia	12	0	9	3	-4	9
17	Wisla Plock	13	2	3	8	-8	9
18	Legnica	12	1	2	9	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.