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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Betis
S U T U T
1–0
Full-time
Mallorca
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
48%
36%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
52%
20%
Both score Ø 44%
52%
36%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,76 xG 0,18
60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 5. · Mallorca 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 21 2 2 +39 +5.9 65
2 Real Madrid 25 17 5 3 +31 +10.6 56
3 Ath Madrid 26 15 6 5 +23 +7.5 51
4 Sociedad 25 13 6 6 +9 +0.4 45
5 Betis 25 12 6 7 +7 +3.5 42
6 Villarreal 25 11 5 9 +5 +2.4 38
7 Ath Bilbao 26 10 6 10 +8 +1.2 36
8 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 +1 -0.2 36
9 Osasuna 25 9 7 9 -2 -7.2 34
10 Celta 26 9 7 10 -3 +1.9 34
11 Mallorca 25 9 5 11 -4 -2.9 32
12 Girona 26 8 7 11 -1 -3.2 31
13 Sevilla 25 7 7 11 -11 +4.0 28
14 Cadiz 26 6 10 10 -17 -3.2 28
15 Valladolid 26 8 4 14 -18 -7.9 28
16 Espanol 26 6 9 11 -10 -0.4 27
17 Valencia 26 7 5 14 -3 -4.0 26
18 Getafe 25 6 8 11 -9 -0.5 26
19 Almeria 26 7 5 14 -15 -3.0 26
20 Elche 25 2 7 16 -30 -4.8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Mallorca
31′
🟨 Jaume Costa
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Borja Iglesias
Y. Sabaly
48′
54′
🟨 Matija Nastasić
57′
🔁 T. Kadewere
↦ Dani Rodríguez
57′
🔁 Antonio Sánchez
↦ I. Baba
57′
🔁 L. Augustinsson
↦ Jaume Costa
Juanmi 🔁
↦ Rodri
69′
William Carvalho 🔁
↦ Ayoze Pérez
69′
71′
🔁 A. Ndiaye
↦ Pablo Maffeo
77′
🔁 Abdón Prats
↦ V. Muriqi
Andrés Guardado 🟨
80′
Joaquín 🔁
↦ Sergio Canales
83′
Víctor Ruiz 🔁
↦ G. Pezzella
83′
Willian José 🔁
↦ Borja Iglesias
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
16 G. Pezzella D
3 Edgar González D
33 Juan Miranda D
5 G. Rodríguez M
18 A. Guardado M
10 Sergio Canales M
21 Ayoze Pérez M
28 Rodri M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (10)
7 Juanmi
14 William Carvalho
17 Joaquín
6 Víctor Ruiz
12 Willian José
1 C. Bravo
25 Dani Martín
4 P. Akouokou
2 Martín Montoya
24 Aitor Ruibal

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Mallorca

5-3-2
1 P. Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
20 G. González D
21 Raíllo D
2 M. Nastasić D
18 Jaume Costa D
4 Ruíz de Galarreta M
12 I. Baba M
14 Dani Rodríguez M
7 V. Muriqi F
19 Lee Kang-In F
Bench (12)
17 T. Kadewere
10 Antonio Sánchez
3 L. Augustinsson
23 A. Ndiaye
9 Abdón Prats
5 D. Hadžikadunić
8 C. Grenier
11 Manu Morlanes
22 Ángel
16 R. Battaglia
13 D. Greif
6 Copete

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,31
B
4,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.