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Pro League
Referee: B Staessens
Mechelen
S T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 17/15 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
47%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
76%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
53%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 14. · Cercle Brugge 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 14 1 0 +32 43
2 St. Gilloise 15 12 2 1 +17 38
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +14 34
4 Club Brugge 15 10 1 4 +15 31
5 Gent 15 9 2 4 +15 29
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 8 4 6 +9 28
7 St Truiden 18 7 5 6 -1 26
8 Cercle Brugge 15 7 4 4 +4 25
9 Anderlecht 17 7 2 8 +7 23
10 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
11 Eupen 20 7 1 12 -14 22
12 Westerlo 15 6 3 6 +1 21
13 Standard 14 7 0 7 +0 21
14 Mechelen 17 5 3 9 -7 18
15 Oostende 18 5 3 10 -17 18
16 Waregem 18 4 4 10 -15 16
17 Kortrijk 18 4 3 11 -18 15
18 Seraing 18 3 2 13 -18 11
19 Seraing United 18 3 2 13 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Cercle Brugge
3′
K. Denkey 0–1
A. Francis
David Bates 🟨
19′
32′
🟨 Olivier Deman
Half-time 0–1
48′
ℹ️ Dino Hotić
VAR: Goal confirmed
52′
🟨 Olivier Deman
52′
🟥 Olivier Deman
58′
🔁 S. Miangué
↦ D. Hotić
A. Van Hoorenbeeck 🔁
↦ L. Bijker
64′
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
65′
67′
🔁 E. Kehrer
↦ A. Ueda
1–1 N. Storm
R. Schoofs
71′
Kerim Mrabti 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Jesper Daland
83′
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
Sandy Walsh ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
85′
F. Soelle Soelle 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
90′
92′
🔁 R. Decostere
↦ K. Denkey
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
27 D. Bates D
14 D. Lavalée D
3 L. Bijker D
66 B. Verstraete M
16 R. Schoofs M
7 G. Hairemans M
19 K. Mrabti M
11 N. Storm M
22 Alessio Da Cruz F
Bench (7)
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
10 Y. Malede
28 F. Soelle Soelle
39 M. Robberechts
34 N. Mukau
6 J. Van Hecke
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: S. Defour

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
1 R. Majecki G
5 B. Popović D
66 C. Ravych D
4 J. Daland D
34 T. Somers M
17 A. Francis M
14 C. Vanhoutte M
23 O. Deman M
10 D. Hotić F
36 A. Ueda F
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
18 S. Miangué
7 E. Kehrer
8 R. Decostere
42 A. Sampers
19 D. Velkovski
11 Y. Gboho
21 Warleson

Coach: M. Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U ✓
3,47
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Staessens · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.